劳动力成本上升对物流发展水平影响的时空效应  

Spatial and Temporal Effects of Rising Labor Cost on Logistics Industry Development

作　　者：江雨燕[1] 张泽康 JIANG Yu-yan;ZHANG Ze-kang(Anhui University of Technology,School of Management Science and Engineering,Maanshan 243032,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽工业大学管理科学与工程学院,安徽马鞍山243032

出　　处：《宜春学院学报》2024年第1期37-45,共9页Journal of Yichun University

基　　金：安徽普通高校重点实验室开放基金项目“复杂系统多学科管理与控制”(项目编号:CS2022-ZD02)。

摘　　要：以长三角城市群26市2004-2020年的面板数据为研究样本,在测算各城市物流发展水平的基础上,借助普通面板模型、动态空间杜宾模型探究劳动力成本对物流业发展的影响。研究表明:长三角城市群物流发展水平整体呈上升趋势,由极化发展逐步转为均衡扩散发展;城市间物流发展水平表现出正向的空间自相关关系,劳动力成本对本地物流发展水平有积极的促进作用,但对邻地产生负向的空间溢出效应,异质性检验发现,发展水平低的城市更易受到劳动力成本的影响。应从物流产业空间布局、产业支持政策及劳动力成本增速等方面助力长三角地区物流业发展。Taking the panel data of 26 cities in the Yangtze River Delta city cluster from 2004 to 2020 as a research sample,on the basis of measuring the logistics development level of each city,the impact of labor cost on the development of logistics industry was explored with the help of ordinary panel model and Dynamic Spatial Dubin Model.The results show that the overall logistics development level of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration shows an upward trend,gradually changing from polarized development to balanced diffusion development.The level of inter-city logistics development shows a positive spatial autocorrelation,labor cost has a positive effect on local logistics development level,but has a negative spatial spillover effect on neighboring areas,and heterogeneity testing found that cities with low development level are more susceptible to labor costs.The development of the logistics industry in the Yangtze River Delta region should be helped from the aspects of logistics industry spatial layout,industrial support policies and labor cost growth rate.

关 键 词：劳动力成本 物流发展水平 动态空间杜宾模型 空间效应 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济]