中国与东盟区域间贸易对中国碳排放影响研究——基于全球价值链框架  

Study on the Impact of China-ASEAN Regional Trade on China's Carbon Emissions:Based on GVC

作　　者：喻开志[1] 冯佳晗 石瑶 Yu Kaizhi;Feng Jiahan;Shi Yao(School of Statistics,Southwest University of Finance and Economics,Chengdu 611130,China)

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学统计学院,611130

出　　处：《南开经济研究》2023年第12期122-143,共22页Nankai Economic Studies

基　　金：研究阐释党的十九届六中全会精神国家社会科学基金重大项目“新发展阶段生产发展、生活富裕、生态良好的中国特色文明发展道路研究”(22ZDA108)资助。

摘　　要：全球价值链逐渐成为各国贸易交往的纽带,地区间贸易日益紧密,但对外贸易影响中国各部门排放的途径有待进一步明晰。本文旨在研究中国与东盟贸易中影响中国碳排放的因素和作用机制,为此通过构建基于全球价值链框架的部门间联系,利用亚洲开发银行国际投入产出数据库,使用投入产出模型,探究供需和财富积累在全球价值链框架下贸易对碳排放的影响。研究发现,与东盟贸易中(1)中国主要排放体现在国内最终产品的生产消费上;全球价值链嵌入和中间品贸易强度的提高能显著减少中国总体碳排放,增加值贸易强度的提升能增加碳排放;总体上贸易活动的进行不利于减排,但对排放强度有抑制作用。(2)国内外供需的扩大抑制了价值链分工地位对碳排放的负面影响,各国财富积累加强了中间品贸易强度对碳排放的抑制作用,削弱了增加值贸易强度对碳排放的影响。GVC is becoming a link for trade among countries gradually,regional trade is becoming close increasingly.But how trade affects China’s emissions need more study.We aim to study the reasons that affect China's carbon emissions in China and ASEAN trade.By constructing an interdepartmental relationship based on GVC,using the ADB's MRIO database and input-output models to explore the impact of supply and demand and wealth accumulation on carbon emissions in trade under GVC.The results show:①China's emissions mainly from the production and consumption of domestic final products.Embededing in GVC and raising the intermediate trade intensity will reduce carbon emissions significantly.The value-added trade intensity will increase carbon emissions.Generally,trade promote carbon emission,but inhibit emission intensity.②Domestic and international supply and demand expand have suppressed the emission reduction effect of GVC division status,countries accumulating wealth will strengthened the inhibitory effect of intermediate trade intensity on carbon emissions and weakened value-added trade intensity’s impact on carbon emissions.

关 键 词：全球价值链 东盟 贸易 碳排放 

分 类 号：X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易] F753.3[经济管理—产业经济]