不动产消费结构对城市创新产出的影响机理研究  

Research on the Influence Mechanism of Real Estate Consumption Structure on Urban Innovation Output

作　　者：王荣[1] 张所地[1] 赵华平[1] WANG Rong;ZHANG Suo-di;ZHAO Hua-ping(Management Engineering Research Center,Shanxi University of Finance and Economics,Taiyuan 030006,China)

机构地区：[1]山西财经大学管理工程研究中心,山西太原030006

出　　处：《数理统计与管理》2024年第1期117-131,共15页Journal of Applied Statistics and Management

基　　金：国家社科基金年度一般项目(20BJY068)。

摘　　要：城市中非居住性不动产为产业发展和人才交流提供了广阔空间,促进了产业结构升级和人才知识溢出,提升了城市创新产出水平。本文逻辑推理了不动产消费结构影响城市创新及其经产业结构升级和创新人才集聚作用于创新产出的理论模型,以2008-2018年中国248个地级城市的面板数据为研究样本,运用面板数据模型,实证检验发现:(1)不动产消费结构与创新产出呈现显著的正相关关系;(2)产业结构和人才集聚在不动产消费结构与创新产出的关系中存在部分中介作用;(3)高等级不动产消费结构对创新产出存在更强的影响;随创新产出分位点提高,不动产消费结构对创新产出的影响呈“微笑”型曲线变化;除东北地区外,东部地区的不动产消费结构对创新产出的作用最强,中部次之,西部最弱;研究期限后期的不动产消费结构对创新产出呈现了更强的影响。研究结果在一定程度上拓宽了不动产经济和技术创新的研究内容,发现了产业结构和人才集聚在二者关系中的中介作用,对不动产的空间布局,城市不动产资源的合理配置,提升城市的综合竞争力都具有一定的理论和实际意义。Urban non-residential real estate provides a broad space for industrial development and talent exchange,promotes industrial structure upgrading and talent knowledge spillover,and improves the level of urban innovation output.This paper constructs a theoretical model of the impact of real estate consumption structure on urban innovation output through the upgrading of industrial structure and the agglomeration of innovative talents through mathematical logic reasoning.Taking the panel data of 248 prefecture level cities in China from 2008 to 2018 as the research samples,the empirical test of panel data model shows that:(1) There is a significant positive correlation between real estate consumption structure and innovation output;(2) Industrial structure and talent concentration have a partial mediating role in the relationship between real estate consumption structure and innovation output;(3) High level real estate consumption structure has a stronger impact on innovation output;with the increase of innovation output quantile,the influence of real estate consumption structure on innovation output changes in a "smile" curve;In addition to the northeast region,the eastern region's real estate consumption structure has the strongest effect on the innovation output,followed by the central region,and the western region is the weakest;the real estate consumption structure in the later period of the research period has a stronger impact on the innovation output.The research results broaden the research content of real estate economy and technology innovation to a certain extent,and find the intermediary role of industrial structure and talent concentration in the relationship between them,which has certain theoretical and practical significance for the spatial layout of real estate,the reasonable allocation of urban real estate resources,and the promotion of urban comprehensive competitiveness.

关 键 词：不动产消费结构 产业结构 人才集聚 创新产出 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济] F299.23[理学—概率论与数理统计] O212[理学—数学]