大中型水库移民生产生活水平指标体系与实证评价研究  

Research on the Index System and Empirical Evaluation of Production and Living Standard of Large and Medium-sized Reservoir Resettlers

作　　者：董鹤亭 许桂生[1] 苑鹏飞 冯湘萍 DONG He-ting;XU Gui-sheng;YUAN Peng-fei;FENG Xiang-ping(School of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China;Guangdong Yuehai Pearl River Delta Water Supply Co.,LTD.,Guangzhou 511457,Guangdong Province,China;Guangxi Water Resources and Electric Power Survey and Design Institute,Nanning 530023,Guangxi Province,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学水利与水电工程学院,北京102206 [2]广东粤海珠三角供水有限公司,广东广州511457 [3]广西水利电力勘测设计研究院,广西南宁530023

出　　处：《中国农村水利水电》2024年第1期268-274,共7页China Rural Water and Hydropower

摘　　要：以GX自治区WZ市2021年度大中型水库移民后期扶持政策实施情况监测评估项目为案例,基于10个移民村200户移民家庭的原始调查数据,采用灰色聚类-复相关-信息灵敏度法,构建了包括人均可支配收入等指标的评价指标体系;利用熵值法和环比评分法分别计算指标权重后,应用基于博弈论的组合赋权法确定了评价指标的主客观组合权重;结合调查数据及官方统计数据确定指标分级标准,利用综合评分法计算移民的生产生活水平指数,并运用该指数对样本村水库移民生产生活水平进行了实证评价。结果表明,采用本文方法构建的指标体系和评价模型相对合理、有效,评价结果符合实际,可为水库移民后期扶持效果评价及其他相关评价工作提供参考。This paper takes the monitoring and evaluation project of the implementation of the late support policies for large and mediumsized reservoir resettlers in WZ City,GX Autonomous Region in 2021 as an example based on the original survey data of 200 resettlement families in 10 resettlement villages,and uses the grey clustering-multiple correlation-information sensitivity method and constructs an evalu⁃ation index system including per capita disposable income and other indicators.After the index weights are calculated by the entropy weight method and the sequential scoring method,the subjective and objective combined weights of the evaluation indices are determined by the combination weighting method based on game theory.The grading standards of indices are determined based on survey data and official statis⁃tical data.The index of productive and living standards of reservoir resettlers is calculated by the comprehensive scoring method,and the in⁃dex is used to carry out an empirical evaluation of the production and living standards of the reservoir resettlers in the sample village.The results show that the index system and evaluation model constructed by the method in this paper are relatively reasonable and effective,and the evaluation results are in line with the reality,which serve as a reference for the evaluation of the late support effect of reservoir resettlers and other related evaluation work.

关 键 词：水库移民 后期扶持 指标体系 组合赋权 实证评价 

分 类 号：D632.4[政治法律—政治学]