基于改进突变级数法的引水隧洞施工安全综合评价  

Comprehensive evaluation of construction safety of diversion tunnel based on improved catastrophe series method

作　　者：张贺 聂元东 ZHANG He;NIE Yuandong(Shanghai Survey,Design and Research Institute Co.Ltd,Shanghai 200335,China)

机构地区：[1]上海勘测设计研究院有限公司,上海200335

出　　处：《水科学与工程技术》2024年第1期51-55,共5页Water Sciences and Engineering Technology

摘　　要：为保障引水隧洞施工安全,构建了改进的突变级数法的引水隧洞施工安全评价模型。首先分析引水隧洞施工安全突变特征,构建了引水隧洞施工安全评价指标体系;然后利用ISM-ANP组合赋权方法,获取定性和定量的评价指标,提升评价数据的可靠性;进一步基于ISM-ANP组合赋权结果和突变级数理论构建改进的突变级数综合评价模型。最后以某引水隧洞工程作为评价对象,运用模型对引水隧洞施工安全状态进行评价分析。结果表明:某引水隧洞工程施工安全评价等级为一般,引水隧洞施工过程中存在一定安全隐患;提出的改进突变级数安全评价方法精度较高,可为引水隧洞安全评价提供理论参考。To ensure the construction safety of the diversion tunnel,an improved catastrophe series method for the construction safety evaluation model of the diversion tunnel is constructed.Firstly,the safety mutation character-istics of the diversion tunnel construction are analyzed,and the construction safety evaluation index system of the diversion tunnel is constructed.Then,the qualitative and quantitative evaluation indicators are obtained by using the ISM-ANP combined weighting method to improve the reliability of the evaluation data.Based on the weighted results and the catastrophe series theory,an improved catastrophe series comprehensive evaluation model was constructed.Finally,taking a water diversion tunnel project as the evaluation object,the model is used to evaluate and analyze the construction safety status of the water diversion tunnel.The results show that the construction safety evaluation level of a diversion tunnel project is general,and there are certain safety hazards during the construction of the diversion tunnel.The improved catastrophe series safety evaluation method proposed in this paper has high accu-racy and provides a theoretical reference for the safety evaluation of diversion tunnels.

关 键 词：水利工程 引水隧洞 施工安全 安全评价 模型改进 

分 类 号：TV512[水利工程—水利水电工程]