中国高水平对外开放:机遇挑战和前景  

China’s high-level opening up:opportunities,challenges and prospects

作　　者：张燕生[1] Zhang Yansheng

机构地区：[1]中国宏观经济研究院

出　　处：《全球化》2024年第1期15-32,132,共19页Globalization

摘　　要：乌克兰危机进一步延续了国际金融危机、新冠疫情的冲击;进一步使地缘政治形势恶化、地缘经济冲突加剧,改变了国际格局;进一步推动了基于规则的经济全球化走向终结,进入地缘冲突、大国竞争、世界失序的新阶段。“大变局中危和机同生并存”,关键是如何化危为机、转危为安、做好自己的事情。如把双循环战略的主战场聚焦在东亚、东南亚等周边地区,聚焦在“一带一路”,聚焦在与美欧日韩第三方合作。在新形势下要始终坚持发展要安全、斗争要艺术、开放要自主的原则,继续推动经济全球化前行。中美战略竞争的重点是科技、产业、金融实力之间的较量。应对这一较量,既需要外交、安全、军事、发改、科技、商务等部门形成合力,也需要央地分工合作,还需要建立最广泛的国际统一战线,培育国际竞争与合作的新优势。中国坚持走和平发展的现代化道路,需要跨越“修昔底德陷阱”“萨缪尔森陷阱”“金德尔伯格陷阱”,构建人类命运共同体。The Ukraine crisis has further extended the impact of the international financial crisis and the COVID-19 epidemic;it has further worsened the geopolitical situation and intensified geoeconomic conflicts,changing the international landscape;it further promotes the end of rules-based economic globalization and enters a new stage of geopolitical conflict,competition between major powers,and world disorder.“Dangers and opportunities coexist in the profound changes”,the key is how to turn crisis into opportunity,turn crisis into safety,and do our own thing.For example,the main battlefield of the dual circulation strategy will focus on the surrounding regions such as East Asia and Southeast Asia,the“Belt and Road”,and the third-party cooperation with the United States,Europe,Japan and South Korea.Under the new situation,it must always adhere to the principles of security in development,art in struggle,and independence in opening up,and continue to push forward economic globalization.The focus of the strategic competition between China and the United States is the contest between science and technology,industry,and financial capabilities.To deal with this competition,it is necessary not only for the foreign affairs,security,military,development and reform,science and technology,and commerce departments to form a joint force,but also for the central and local governments to cooperate in the division of labor,and it is also necessary to establish the broadest international united front and cultivate new advantages in international competition and cooperation.China adheres to the modernization path of peaceful development and needs to overcome the“Thucydides Trap”,“Samuelson Trap”and“The Kindelberg Trap”and build a community with a shared future for mankind.

关 键 词：新国际环境 全球治理 高水平开放 高质量发展 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]