新型城镇化对乡村振兴影响研究——基于动态模型和门限模型的实证检验  

The Impact of New-type Urbanization on Rural Revitalization in China:Empirical Test Based on Dynamic Model and Threshold Model

作　　者：李麦收 高星 Li Maishou;Gao Xin

机构地区：[1]河南大学经济学院/乡村振兴研究院,河南开封475004 [2]河南财政金融学院金融学院,河南郑州451464

出　　处：《河南大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第1期19-25,152,共8页Journal of Henan University(Social Sciences）

基　　金：河南省哲学社会科学规划项目“数字经济驱动河南制造业绿色发展的机理及研究对策”(2023BJJ009)阶段性成果。

摘　　要：新型城镇化和乡村振兴是中国重大发展战略,二者之间的关系也是重要的城乡关系问题。基于2003-2021年30个省的面板数据,利用熵权法构建新型城镇化发展指数和乡村振兴发展指数,通过动态面板数据和面板门限模型实证检验了新型城镇化对乡村振兴的影响。研究发现:第一,新型城镇化对中国乡村振兴具有显著的促进作用;第二,新型城镇化对乡村振兴的影响存在显著的地区异质性,中部地区的促进效果最大,西部地区的影响效应最小;第三,新型城镇化对乡村振兴存在基于经济发展的单门限效应,当经济发展水平低于门限值时,没有产生显著影响,当经济发展水平超过门限值后,产生显著的促进作用,也意味着新型城镇化对乡村振兴的影响存在非线性特征。New-type urbanization and rural revitalization are both major strategies in China,and the relationship between them is also an important urban and rural issue.Based on the provincial panel data from 2003 to 2021,constructing the new-type urbanization development index and rural revitalization development index by using entropy weight method,analyze the impact of newtype urbanization on rural revitalization by fitting static and dynamic panel models.The results show that:First,new-type urbanization has a significant positive impact on the development of rural revitalization.Second,the impact is significantly heterogeneous across regions.The effect of new urbanization on rural revitalization is the largest in central China,and the effect of new urbanization on rural revitalization is the least in the western China.Third,new-type urbanization has a single threshold effect on rural revitalization,new-type urbanization did not have a significant impact on rural revitalization when the level of economic development is below the threshold,and plays a significant role when the level of economic development exceeds the threshold,which also means that the impact of new-type urbanization on rural revitalization is non-linear.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 乡村振兴 异质性 门限效应 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]