新型城镇化促进水生态文明建设:影响机制及空间效应  

New urbanization promoting the construction of water ecological civilization:Mechanism of influence and spatial effects

作　　者：张胜武[1] 韩日 李小胜[2] 宋马林[2] 刘海猛[3] ZHANG Shengwu;HAN Ri;LI Xiaosheng;SONG Malin;LIU Haimeng(College of Business Administration,Anhui University of Finance&Economics,Bengbu 233030,Anhui,China;College of Statistics and Applied Mathematics,Anhui University of Finance&Economics,Bengbu 233030,Anhui,China;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学工商管理学院,安徽蚌埠233030 [2]安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠233030 [3]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101

出　　处：《地理科学进展》2024年第1期1-16,共16页Progress in Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71934001);国家社会科学基金项目(20BJL103)。

摘　　要：新型城镇化是生态文明建设的重要载体,如何通过新型城镇化来推动水生态文明建设,是淮河生态经济带打造人与自然和谐共生的现代化面临的重大现实问题。针对这一问题,论文在解析城镇化影响水生态文明建设理论机制的基础上,基于淮河生态经济带2006—2020年的城市面板数据,运用空间计量模型实证检验了城镇化对水生态文明建设的影响机制及空间效应。研究结果表明:①淮河生态经济带综合城镇化、人口城镇化对水生态文明建设的影响均呈典型的环境库兹涅茨曲线,即城镇化先抑制、达到一定阈值后转为促进水生态文明建设;②淮河生态经济带各城市的人口城镇化在2014年皆达到拐点值,而综合城镇化水平尚未达到拐点值,需要加快促进农业转移人口市民化、切实推进以人为核心的新型城镇化;③淮河生态经济带城镇化对水生态文明建设具有显著的倒“U”型溢出效应,同时,在当前研究期内水生态文明建设具有负向外溢效应。论文为深入解析城镇化与水资源互动关系提供新的研究视角,也为深化新型城镇化提升水生态文明建设提供了理论借鉴和经验证据。New urbanization is an important carrier of ecological civilization construction.How to promote the construction of water ecological civilization through new urbanization is a major practical problem facing the Huaihe River Eco-economic Belt in the process of modernization in which people and nature live together in harmony.This study empirically examined the mechanism of influence and spatial effects of urbanization on the construction of water ecological civilization using a spatial econometric model based on the urban panel data of the Huaihe River Eco-economic Belt from 2006 to 2020.The results are as follows:1)The impact of comprehensive urbanization and population urbanization on the construction of water ecological civilization in the Huaihe River Eco-economic Belt follows a typical environmental Kuznets curve,exhibiting a"U"-shaped relationship.The urbanization restrains the construction of water ecological civilization in its early stage of development.Once the level of urbanization reaches a certain threshold,this effect will become positive.2)The urbanization of population in each city has reached the inflection point value in 2014,while the comprehensive urbanization level has not yet reached the inflection point,therefore it is necessary to speed up the conversion of the transferred agricultural population into urban residents and effectively promote the new urbanization with people as the core.3)The urbanization of the Huaihe River Eco-economic Belt has a significant inverted"U"-shaped spillover effect on water ecological civilization construction.Meanwhile,water ecological civilization construction in the region exhibits a negative spatial spillover effect.Therefore,the Huaihe River Eco-economic Belt should establish a sound system for the protection of water ecological civilization and strengthen the coordinated construction of urbanization and water ecological civilization in order to enhance the quality of new urbanization development and create an ecological demonstration belt that is harmoniou

关 键 词：城镇化 水生态文明 “U”型曲线 空间杜宾模型 淮河生态经济带 

分 类 号：X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程] X52[经济管理—国民经济] F299.21