Global warming scenarios for the Eastern Adriatic Sea indicate a higher risk of invasiveness of non-native marine organisms relative to current climate conditions  

作　　者：Branko Glamuzina Lorenzo Vilizzi Marina Piria Ante Zuljevic Ana Bratos Cetinic Ana Pesic Branko Dragicevic Lovrenc Lipej Marijana Pecarevic Vlasta Bartulovic Sanja Grđan Ivan Cvitkovic Tatjana Dobroslavic Ana Fortic Luka Glamuzina Borut Mavric Jovana Tomanic Marija Despalatovic Domen Trkov Marina Brailo Scepanovic Zoran Vidovic Predrag Simonovic Sanja Matic-Skoko Pero Tutman 

机构地区：[1]Department of Applied Ecology,University of Dubrovnik,Dubrovnik,Croatia [2]Department of Ecology and Vertebrate Zoology,Faculty of Biology and Environmental Protection,University of Lodz,Lodz,Poland [3]Faculty of Agriculture,Department of Fisheries,Apiculture,Wildlife Management and Special Zoology,University of Zagreb,Zagreb,Croatia [4]Institute of Oceanography and Fisheries,Split,Croatia [5]Institute of Marine Biology,University of Montenegro,Kotor,Montenegro [6]National Institute of Biology,Marine Biology Station Piran,Piran,Slovenia [7]Teacher Education Faculty,University of Belgrade,Belgrade,Serbia [8]Faculty of Biology,University of Belgrade,Belgrade,Serbia

出　　处：《Marine Life Science & Technology》2024年第1期143-154,共12页海洋生命科学与技术（英文）

基　　金：funded by an ERASMUS+(EPPKA2-Cooperation for innovation and the exchange of good practices,CBHE-JP-Capacity building in higher education)within the project “Educational capacity strengthening for risk management of non-native aquatic species in Western Balkans(Albania,Bosnia and Herzegovina and Montenegro)-RiskMan”(project reference:619384-EPP-1-2020-1-TR-EPPKA2-CBHEJP);the national research project“Monitoring the species diversity and abundance of non-native species in the Slovenian Sea”and the Slovenian Research Agency(research core funding No.P1-0237);the Croatian Science Foundation for the support under Project No.HRZZ-IP-2019-04-6702(Benthic NIS).

摘　　要：Globally,marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function,with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions.Such invasions are expected to increase due to climate change.We conducted a risk screening of marine organisms(37 fishes,38 invertebrates,and 9 plants),both extant and‘horizon’(i.e.,not present in the area but likely to enter it).Based on expert knowledge for the Eastern Adriatic Sea coasts of Slovenia,Croatia,and Montenegro,screenings were conducted under both current and predicted climate conditions indicating with an increase in sea surface temperature and salinity of the Adriatic Sea together with changes in precipitation regime.Our aims were to:(1)identify non-native extant and horizon marine species that may pose threats to native biodiversity and(2)evaluate the risk of invasiveness of the selected species under current and predicted climate conditions.Of the 84 species screened,there was an increase in those ranked as‘high risk’from 33(39.3%)under current climate conditions and to 47(56.0%)under global warming scenarios.For those ranked as‘very high’risk,the increase was from 6(7.1%)to 21(25.0%).Amongst the screened species,the already established high-risk species Pacific oyster Magallana gigas and Atlantic blue crab Callinectes sapidus represent a threat to ecosystem services.Given the under-representation of marine species in the current European Union List,the species we have ranked as high to very high risk should be included.

关 键 词：AS-ISK Early detection Introduction vectors/pathways Invasive species Rapid response 

分 类 号：Q178.53[生物学—水生生物学] P46[生物学—普通生物学]