禀赋效应与风险承载力对宅基地退出意愿的影响——基于江苏省6754份调查问卷的实证分析  

Impact of endowments and risk coping capacity on the willingness of homestead withdrawal:Based on a survey of 6754 farming households in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：韩述 郭贯成[1,2] 张传 HAN Shu;GUO Guancheng;ZHANG Chuan(School of Public Administration,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China;China Institute of Resources,Environment and Development,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China)

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学公共管理学院,南京210095 [2]南京农业大学中国资源环境与发展研究院,南京210095

出　　处：《资源科学》2024年第1期218-231,共14页Resources Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目(20AGL024)。

摘　　要：【目的】统筹禀赋效应与风险承载力的基础上剖析农户行为逻辑,对于盘活闲置宅基地、保障农民资产权益、深化宅基地改革具有重要意义。【方法】本文基于江苏省6754户农户微观数据,构建禀赋效应、风险承载力与宅基地退出意愿的理论框架,通过中介效应模型探究禀赋效应在风险承载力对宅基地退出意愿影响中的中介传递,采用门槛模型检验风险承载力对宅基地退出意愿的双门槛效应,并探究在不同风险承载力门槛内禀赋效应中介作用的差异。【结果】(1)禀赋效应通过主体依恋、客体依赖与不确定感知3条路径对宅基地退出意愿有显著的负向影响;(2)风险承载力对宅基地退出意愿的影响有双门槛效应。风险承载力介于两门槛值间时,对宅基地退出意愿的影响为正,过低或过高时,对宅基地退出意愿的影响均为负。(3)禀赋效应是风险承载力影响宅基地退出意愿的中介变量。其中,中介效应从大到小的顺序为宅基地不可替代性、心理所有权与不确定感知;(4)在风险承载力从低到高的积累过程中,禀赋效应的中介效应经历了完全中介、部分中介和不中介的演变,表明随着风险承载力的积累,禀赋效应的中介作用被逐渐削弱。【结论】政府应明确风险承载力适中的农户群体,健全宅基地退出动员与示范机制,提高农户政策认知水平,完善农户风险承载力保障机制,促进宅基地退出向以人为本转变。[Objective]Examining farming households’homestead withdrawal willingness by considering the endowment effect and risk coping capacity has great significance for deepening homestead reform in China.[Methods]This study constructed a theoretical framework based on endowment effect,risk coping capacity,and homestead exit willingness,and used a mediation effect model to analyze the mediation effect of endowments on the impact of risk coping capacity on homestead exit willingness,used the threshold model to analyze the double threshold effect of risk coping capacity on homestead exit willingness,and explored the differences in the mediation role of endowments at each level of risk coping capacity.[Results](1)The endowment effect has a significant negative impact on the willingness to withdraw from the homestead through the three paths of subject attachment,object dependence and uncertainty perception;(2)The impact of risk carrying capacity on the willingness to withdraw from the homestead has a double threshold effect.When the risk carrying capacity is between the two threshold values,the impact on the willingness to withdraw from the homestead is positive,and when it is too low or too high,the impact on the willingness to withdraw from the homestead is negative;(3)Endowment effect plays an intermediary role in the impact of risk carrying capacity on the willingness to withdraw from homestead.Among them,the order of mediating effect from large to small is homestead irreplaceability,psychological ownership and uncertainty perception;(4)In the process of accumulation of risk coping capacity,the mediation effect of endowments experienced the change of complete mediation-partial mediation-non-mediation,indicating that the accumulation of risk coping capacity helps to weaken the mediation effect of endowments.[Conclusion]The government should clarify the group of farmers with moderate risk carrying capacity,improve the mobilization and demonstration mechanism of homestead exit,improve the level of farmers’policy cogniti

关 键 词：禀赋效应 风险承载力 宅基地退出意愿 中介效应 门槛效应 江苏省 

分 类 号：F321.1[经济管理—产业经济]