东盟与中日韩“10+3”合作机制对中国化工产品贸易效应影响研究  

Research on the Impact of ASEAN and China Japan South Korea’s“10+3”Cooperation Mechanism on China’s Chemical Product Trade

作　　者：徐海俊 崔家玮 Xu Haijun;Cui Jiawei(Business School,Jiangnan University,Wuxi 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]江南大学商学院,江苏无锡100081

出　　处：《经济研究导刊》2024年第2期111-115,共5页Economic Research Guide

摘　　要：随着世界经济一体化的不断推进,东亚地区逐渐签订了多个双边或多边自贸协定,东盟与中日韩“10+3”合作机制的建立为我国对外开放环节中的重大举措。为对中国化工产品的贸易效应进行测定,进行理论模型构建并实证检验,选取1990—2020年世界上226个国家及地区的相关数据,运用PSM-DID模型,从贸易总额、进口、出口三个角度考察了“10+3”各合作国对中国化工贸易效应的影响。结果显示,“10+3”情况下中国化工产品的进出口均存在显著的贸易创造效应与转移效应,且通过了共同趋势检验、安慰剂检验。因此在此基础上提出了相关政策建议,以期为今后我国自贸区的建设与规模扩大提供具有参考性的价值。With the continuous advancement of world economic integration,the East Asian region has gradually signed multiple bilateral or multilateral free trade agreements.The establishment of the“10+3”cooperation mechanism between ASEAN and China,Japan,and South Korea is a major measure in China’s opening-up process.To measure the trade effects of Chinese chemical products,a theoretical model was constructed and empirically tested.Relevant data from 226 countries and regions around the world from 1990 to 2020 were selected,and the PSM-DID model was used to examine the impact of the“10+3”cooperation countries on the trade effects of Chinese chemical products from three perspectives:total trade volume,imports,and exports.The results showed that there were significant trade creation and transfer effects in the import and export of Chinese chemical products under the“10+3”situation,and they passed the common trend test and placebo test.On this basis,this article proposes relevant policy recommendations in a relative manner,in order to provide reference value for the construction and scale expansion of China’s free trade zones in the future.

关 键 词：东盟“10+3” 贸易创造 贸易转移 PSM-DID 化工贸易 

分 类 号：F752.4[经济管理—国际贸易]