地缘政治视角下台湾地区当局“新南向政策”的战略困境  

The Strategic Dilemma of Taiwan Authorities’“New Southbound Policy”from the Perspective of Geopolitics

作　　者：严泉[1] 王闫婷 Yan Quan;Wang Yanting(Center for Taiwan Studies,Shanghai University)

机构地区：[1]上海大学台湾研究中心

出　　处：《台海研究》2023年第4期107-117,共11页Cross-Taiwan Strait Studies

基　　金：2017年度国家社科基金重点项目“当代台湾学界与媒体有关一个中国原则文献整理与研究”(项目编号:17AZD024)。

摘　　要：民进党当局“新南向政策”自2016年全面实施至今整体进展及效果不佳。从地缘政治视角来看,近年来祖国内地“21世纪海上丝绸之路”规模不断扩大,对“新南向政策”产生强大的制约效应,后者发展空间日益缩小。尽管美国“印太战略”对台湾地区的角色予以支持安排,将其积极纳入战略布局,但是由于“新南向政策”推进准备与实力不足,可持续发展能力较弱,无法做到与“印太战略”相互促进、相互叠加。在中美全面竞争的新常态下,面对祖国内地日益增强的区域影响力,“新南向政策”正陷入全面性战略发展困境之中。Since the“New Southbound Policy”of the DPP authorities was fully implemented in 2016,the overall progress and effectiveness have not been satisfactory.From the geopolitical perspective,the scale of the“21st Century Maritime Silk Road”in the Chinese mainland has been expanding in recent years,which has a strong restrictive effect on the“New Southbound Policy”,and the development space of the latter has been shrinking.Although the“Indo-Pacific Strategy”of the United States has arranged the role of Taiwan and actively incorporated it into the strategic layout,the possibility of a“synergy effect”between the two“Strategies”is rare due to insufficient preparation and strength for the promotion of the“New Southbound Policy”and its weak sustainable development capacity.Under the New Normal of comprehensive US-China competition and the growing regional influence of the Chinese mainland,the“New Southbound Policy”is falling into the dilemma of comprehensive strategic development.

关 键 词：“一带一路” “新南向政策” 印太战略 地缘政治 

分 类 号：D675.8[政治法律—政治学]