中国工业产业链现代化指数:区域差异及动态演进  

China’s Industrial Chain Modernization Index:Regional Differences and Dynamic Evolution

作　　者：余姗 张哲 Yu Shan;Zhang Zhe(School of Economics,Xi’an University of Finance and Economics,Xi’an 710100,China;Western Collaborative Innovation Research Center for Energy Economy and Regional Development,Xi’an University of Finance and Economics,Xi’an 710100,China)

机构地区：[1]西安财经大学经济学院,西安710100 [2]西安财经大学西部能源经济与区域发展协同创新研究中心,西安710100

出　　处：《统计与决策》2024年第4期96-101,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(22BJL099);西安市科技计划软科学研究项目(23RKYJ0020);陕西省软科学研究项目(2024ZC-YBXM-146)。

摘　　要：文章基于工业产业链流通、盈利、数字化、创新、协同以及绿色化六个维度构建指标体系,采用熵值法测算2011—2022年中国31个省份工业产业链现代化指数,并运用Dagum基尼系数、Moran指数、核密度估计及马尔可夫链的方法分析区域差异及动态演进规律。结果表明:中国工业产业链现代化指数整体呈稳定上升趋势,且东部地区和中部地区相对较高,而区域差异则主要表现在各区域之间,但是长期来看高水平地区将会辐射和带动其他地区的发展,进而促进工业产业链现代化整体水平提升。This paper is based on the six dimensions of industrial chain circulation,profitability,digitization,innovation,coordination and greening to construct an index system,and then uses entropy method to calculate the industrial chain modernization index in 31 provinces of China from 2011 to 2022,and finally uses Dagum Gini coefficient,Moran’s I,kernel density estimation and Markov chain to analyze regional differences and dynamic evolution rules.The results are shown as follows:The overall level of modernization index of China’s industrial chain presents a steady upward trend.The level of the eastern and central regions is relatively high,while the differences are mainly manifested between regions,but that in the long run,high-level regions will drive and radiate other regions,and promote the overall level of modernization of the industrial chain.

关 键 词：工业产业链现代化 区域差异 动态演进 Dagum基尼系数 核密度估计 马尔可夫链 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济]