中国高原地区涉旅安全事件时空分异及其驱动因子识别  

Spatio-temporal differentiation of tourism safety events and itsdriving factors in the plateau area of China

作　　者：纪颖超 武克军 陈焕桃 郑向敏 殷杰[3,5] Ji Yingchao;Wu Kejun;Chen Huantao;Zheng Xiangmin;Yin Jie(Business School,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China;Tourism College,Northwest Normal University,Lanzhou 730070,China;College of Tourism,Huaqiao University,Quanzhou 362021,China;School of Management,Putian University,Putian 351100,China;Center for Tourism Safety&Security Research of China Tourism Academy,Quanzhou 362021,China)

机构地区：[1]中南大学商学院,长沙410083 [2]西北师范大学旅游学院,兰州730070 [3]华侨大学旅游学院,泉州362021 [4]莆田学院管理学院,莆田351100 [5]中国旅游研究院旅游安全研究基地,泉州362021

出　　处：《中国生态旅游》2023年第5期870-889,共20页Journal of Chinese Ecotourism

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(19BGL134)。

摘　　要：高原旅游风险治理对高原地区旅游健康发展具有重要意义。本研究利用季节性指数、空间分析等方法,探究2010—2019年高原地区涉旅安全事件时空分异特征,识别时空分异格局驱动因子及作用强度。研究发现:(1)高原地区涉旅安全事件数量逐年递增,时序变化具有“夏季高发,冬季低发”的季节性特征,事件类型多样但意外伤害事件发生频率最高;(2)高原地区涉旅安全事件时空分布呈现聚集性和差异性发展格局,其热点区域呈逐年扩大趋势,形成了云贵高原云南和四川、青藏高原新疆以及黄土高原河南等多个高密度区域;(3)高原地区涉旅安全事件在全局空间上存在显著的空间正相关性和空间高值聚集现象,局部上在云贵高原、青藏高原以及黄土高原呈现明显的空间极化现象,且聚集规模减少、聚集强度增加;(4)人员、设施、环境以及管理因子的耦合作用引致了高原地区涉旅安全事件的时空分异,其中,旅游从业人数、医疗保障设施、平均坡度、自然生态环境、旅游资源禀赋是主要驱动因子,且各影响因子之间的两两交互作用会增强涉旅安全事件的时空分异。Plateau tourism risk management is of great significance to the healthy development of plateau tourism.Methods of seasonal index,spatio-temporal differentiation measure and other methods are applied to reveal the spatio-temporal differentiation of tourism safety events in plateau areas from 2010 to 2019,and identify the driving factors and the effect intensity of spatio-temporal differentiation pattern.The results show that:(1)the number of tourism safety events in plateau areas is increasing year by year,and the temporal variation of them with the seasonal characteristics of“high occurrence in summer and low occurrence in winter”,and the types of those events are complex,but the frequency of accidental injury is the highest;(2)the spatial and temporal distribution of travel-related safety events in the plateau region presents the pattern of agglomeration and differentiation,and the hotspot areas of tourism safety events show an expanding trend year by year,forming multiple high-density areas in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau,Yunnan and Sichuan,Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,Xinjiang and Loess Plateau,Henan;(3)tourism safety events in plateau areas show significant spatial positive correlation and spatial high value clustering phenomenon in general,and obvious spatial polarization phenomenon exists in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau,Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Loess Plateau locally,and the clustering scale decreases and the clustering intensity increases;(4)the coupling effect of personnel,facility,environment and management factors leads to the spatiotemporal differentiation of tourism safety events in plateau areas,among which,the number of tourism practitioners,medical security facilities,average gradient,natural ecological environment and tourism resource endowment are the dominant factors,and the two-by-two interaction of those factors will enhance the spatio-temporal differentiation of tourism safety events in plateau areas.

关 键 词：高原旅游 涉旅安全事件 时空分异 驱动因子 地理探测器 

分 类 号：X959[环境科学与工程—安全科学] F592[经济管理—旅游管理]