大变局下的全球气候治理与中国的战略选择——基于首次全球盘点的分析  

Global Climate Governance and China’s Strategic Options in the Context of Great Changes:An Analysis of the First Global Stocktake

作　　者：李慧明[1] 向文洁 LI Huiming;XIANG Wenjie

机构地区：[1]山东大学政治学与公共管理学院,青岛266200

出　　处：《国际展望》2024年第2期85-102,164,共19页Global Review

基　　金：研究阐释党的二十大精神国家社科重大项目“‘双碳’目标下中国提升全球气候治理影响力的战略研究”(23ZDA112)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：2023年迪拜气候大会完成了对《巴黎协定》的首次全球盘点,明确指出《巴黎协定》已经取得了重要进展,但各缔约方尚未集体步入实现《巴黎协定》的宗旨及其长期目标的轨道,距离实现这一目标仍存在巨大差距。这次气候大会也确定了转型脱离化石燃料的路线图,以便在2050年实现净零排放,这标志着化石燃料时代终结的开始,也表明绿色转型的时代潮流不仅不可逆转,而且转型的步伐在未来十年将持续加快。当今世界正面临百年未有之大变局,全球气候治理的紧迫性显著上升。作为国际社会的负责任大国和全球气候治理的关键行为体,中国需要从构建人类命运共同体的战略高度出发,利用首次全球盘点向国际社会发出清晰信号,坚定推进自身“双碳”目标的实现,积极推动和引领全球低碳转型,为实现全球气候治理目标贡献更大力量。The 2023 Dubai Climate Conference completed the first global stocktake of the Paris Agreement,clearly stating that significant collective progress has been made under the Paris Agreement,but Parties are not yet collectively on track to achieving the purpose of the Paris Agreement and its long-term goals,and there is still a huge gap to achieve the goals.This climate conference has also established a roadmap of transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems and reaching net zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050,which marks the beginning of the end of the fossil fuel era and indicates that the global trend of green transition is not only irreversible,but the pace of transition will continue to accelerate in this critical decade.The world is currently facing great changes unseen in a century,and the urgency of global climate governance is significantly increasing.As a responsible great power in the international community and a key actor in global climate governance,China needs to firmly promote the achievement of its own carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals,actively promote and take a lead in the global low-carbon transition,and contribute greater efforts to achieving global climate governance goals,starting from the strategic perspective of building a community with a shared future for mankind and taking advantage of the clear signal sent by the first global stocktake.

关 键 词：迪拜气候大会 全球气候治理 全球盘点 巴黎模式 中国 

分 类 号：D822[政治法律—政治学] P467[政治法律—外交学]