旅游发展、交通基础设施与农民增收的动态关联研究——以湖北省“襄十随神”区域为例  

Dynamic Correlation Between Tourism Development,Transportation Infrastructure and Farmers’Income Increase:Taking Areas of Xiangyang,Shiyan,Suizhou and Shennongjia(Hubei Province)as Examples

作　　者：黄志毅 南曙光 HUANG Zhiyi;NAN Shuguang(College of Tourism,Hu’nan Normal University,Changsha 410000,China;History Culture and Tourism College,Hanjiang Normal University,Shiyan 442000,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南师范大学旅游学院,湖南长沙410000 [2]汉江师范学院历史文化与旅游学院,湖北十堰442000

出　　处：《湖北文理学院学报》2024年第2期52-59,共8页Journal of Hubei University of Arts and Science

基　　金：湖南省社会科学基金项目(18JD46);四川省教育科研基金项目(SCJG20A299)。

摘　　要：探索旅游发展、交通基础设施与农民增收三者之间的动态关系,对于推进区域协同发展具有重要的启示意义。文章基于湖北省“襄十随神”四市(区)2004—2021年面板数据,运用向量自回归模型,讨论了四地旅游发展、交通基础设施和农民增收三者之间的动态关系。结果表明:“襄十随神”四市(区)旅游发展、交通基础设施与农民增收之间存在长期均衡关系;旅游发展明显促进了交通基础设施的完善,旅游发展与交通基础设置完善对农民增收具有较强的推动作用;农民增收对旅游发展和交通基础设施完善的影响较弱。在实证分析和考虑地区差异与关联性的基础上,提出了协调、共生、一体化的发展建议,以期为“襄十随神”区域协同发展提供一定借鉴。Exploring the dynamic relationship among tourism development,transportation infrastructure and farmers’income increase is of great significance for promoting regional coordinated development.Based on the panel data of four cities of Xiangyang,Shiyan,Suizhou and Shennongjia in Hubei Province from 2004 to 2021,this paper analyzes the dynamic relationship between tourism development,transportation infrastructure and farmers’income by using vector autoregressive model.The results show that:there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between tourism development,transportation infrastructure and farmers’income increase in the four cities;tourism development can significantly promote the improvement of transportation infrastructure,and the improvement of tourism development and transportation infrastructure has a strong role in promoting farmers’income;the increase of farmers’income has a weak impact on tourism development and transportation infrastructure improvement.On the basis of empirical analysis and considering regional differences and correlations,this paper puts forward development suggestions of coordination,symbiosis and integration,in order to provide some reference for the coordinated development of Xiangyang,Shiyan,Suizhou and Shennongjia.

关 键 词：襄十随神 旅游发展 交通基础设施 农民增收 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F592.7