基于分形理论的国内旅游收入规模结构研究——以吉林省为例  

Study on the Variation of Scale Structure of Domestic Tourism Income Based on Fractal Theory——Taking JiLin Province as an Example

作　　者：李秀玲[1] 高鹤 LI Xiu-ling;GAO He(School of Applied Mathematics,Jilin University of Finance and Economics,Changchun 130117,China)

机构地区：[1]吉林财经大学应用数学学院,吉林长春130117

出　　处：《税务与经济》2024年第1期106-112,共7页Taxation and Economy

基　　金：吉林省社会科学基金项目(2022B71);吉林财经大学重点项目(2022ZD003)。

摘　　要：旅游经济是我国国民经济的重要组成部分,旅游系统结构合理与否直接影响其产业发展速度,关系到区域旅游的协调发展和区域经济的可持续发展。吉林省国内旅游收入规模分布基本遵循Zipf法则,规模结构由覆盖全域的单分形演化为局部单分形,收入规模较为集中,首位度明显,呈不规则的Pareto模式;吉林省国内旅游收入规模变差从2007年开始出现大幅度的下降,但在2019年出现了大幅度上升;无标度区覆盖的城市范围呈缩小趋势,国内旅游收入规模结构逐渐退化。因此,吉林省应基于可持续发展的理念对全省旅游规模进行系统研究,对全省各地的旅游资源进行统一规划指导,推动旅游产业总收入持续增加。Tourism industry is an important part of national economy.Whether the structure of tourism system is reasonable or not directly affects its reasonable development direction,and that is related to the coordinated development of regional tourism and the sustainable development of regional economy.This paper studies the variation of scale structure of tourism income in Jilin province based on Zipf law in recent 15 years.The results indicate that the scale structures of domestic tourism income in Jilin province satisfy Zipf law in each year.The income scale is relatively concentrated,and the primacy index is obvious.The spatial fractal of domestic tourism income varies from single fractal including almost the whole region to local single fractal.The spatial fractal of domestic tourism income accords with the Irregular Pareto distribution well.The variation of scale structures of tourism income in Jilin Province began to decline significantly from 2007,and increased significantly in 2019.The urban scope covered by the scale-free zone shows a shrinking trend,and the scale structure of domestic tourism revenue gradually degrades.Therefore,Jilin Province should systematically study the scale of tourism from the perspective of sustainable development,make unified planning and guidance for tourism resources in all parts of the province,and promote the continuous increase of the total revenue of tourism industry.

关 键 词：ZIPF法则 国内旅游收入 吉林省 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]