考虑相似性和不确定性的军队后勤保障装备体系贡献率评估  

Contribution Rate Evaluation of Military Logistic Support Equipment System-of-Systems Considering Similarityand Uncertainty

作　　者：李皓 孟英谦 彭龙 朱镜蓉 赵冬冬 LI Hao;MENG Yingqian;PENG Long;ZHU Jingrong;ZHAO Dongdong(Institute of Computer Application Technology,Bejing 100089,China;School of Economics and Management,Communication University of China,Beijing 100024,China)

机构地区：[1]中国兵器工业计算机应用技术研究所,北京100089 [2]中国传媒大学经济与管理学院,北京100024

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2024年第1期87-96,104,共11页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：国家重点研发计划基金资助项目(2022YFB3306300)。

摘　　要：针对我军后勤保障装备体系贡献率评估中存在因素复杂、不确定信息较多、评估难度较大的问题,以我军后勤保障装备体系为研究对象,从保障功能完备性、体系结构优化、体系技术进步和关键能力提升等4个维度构建了多层次的贡献率评估指标体系。构建了基于相似性最大的组合赋权模型;给出了融合三角直觉模糊加权几何交叉影响平均算子和TODIM的体系贡献率评估模型。案例分析结果表明,该模型解释性好、操作性强、实用性优,能够为后勤保障装备迭代更新及装备体系论证规划提供有效的决策支持。In view of the problems of complex factors,more uncertain information and difficult evalua-tion in the contribution rate of Chinese military logistics support equipment system-of-systems,taking Chi-nese military logistics support equipment system as the research object.First,a multi-level contribution rate evaluation index system is constructed from four dimensions:completeness of support functions,system-of-systems structure optimization,system-of-systems technology progress and key capability improvement.Then,a combined weighting model based on the maximum similarity is constructed.Finally,the contribution rate evaluation model of the system-of-systems is constructed by integrating triangular intuitionistic fuzzy weighted geometric cross-impact averaging operator and TODIM.The results of case analysis show that the model has good interpretation,strong operability and excellent practicability,and can provide effective deci-sion-making support for the iterative updating of logistics support equipment and the demonstration plan-ning of equipment system-of-systems.

关 键 词：相似性 不确定性 实战化需求 后勤保障装备体系 贡献率评估 

分 类 号：E917[军事]