人口老龄化对居民消费影响的实证分析  

Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Population Aging on Residents’Consumption

作　　者：王永梅 WANG Yongmei(School of Economics,Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing 100070,China)

机构地区：[1]首都经济贸易大学经济学院,北京100070

出　　处：《河北开放大学学报》2024年第1期63-65,共3页Journal of Hebei Open University

摘　　要：近年来,老年抚养比不断增加,我国已从老龄社会迈步走向超老龄社会,明确人口老龄化对于居民消费的影响,把握银发经济的契机对于扩大内需来说至关重要。利用2011—2021年31省的面板数据,分析了人口老龄化对居民消费的影响。选取固定效应模型,进行回归。研究发现人口老龄化对于居民消费水平的提升具有显著的促进作用,人口老龄化对居民消费的影响存在消费类型异质性以及区域异质性,影响程度由高到低依次是生存型﹥享受型﹥发展型。对东、中部具有显著的正向影响,且对于东部地区有促进作用。In recent years,the elderly dependency ratio has been increasing,and China has moved from an aging society to a super aging society.It is crucial to clarify the impact of population aging on residents’consumption and seize the opportunity of the seniors economy to expand domestic demand.Using the panel data of 31 provinces from 2011 to 2021,the study analyzes the influence of population aging on residents’consumption.The fixed effect model is selected for regression.It is found that population aging has a significant role in promoting the consumption level of residents.The influence of population aging on residents’consumption is heterogeneous in consumption types and regions,and the order of influence from high to low is survival,enjoyment,development.It has a significant positive impact on the eastern and central regions,and has a promoting effect on the eastern region.

关 键 词：人口老龄化 居民消费水平 消费结构升级 老年抚养比 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]