城市政府驻地迁移的经济绩效评估  

Economic performance evaluation of the city government relocation:Based on the comprehensive exploration of move-in,move-out districts and other areas

作　　者：孙斌栋 潘昱琪[1,2,3] 张婷麟 周慧敏 SUN Bindong;PAN Yuqi;ZHANG Tinglin;ZHOU Huimin(Research Center for China Administrative Division,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200241,China;Future City Lab,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200241,China;School of Geographic Sciences,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200241,China)

机构地区：[1]华东师范大学中国行政区划研究中心,上海200241 [2]华东师范大学未来城市实验室,上海200241 [3]华东师范大学地理科学学院,上海200241

出　　处：《地理学报》2024年第2期402-420,共19页Acta Geographica Sinica

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(23ZDA049)。

摘　　要：中国城市政府驻地迁移会导致资源在空间上的重新配置,从而影响地区经济发展。以往相关研究多从迁入区或者迁出区单一区域视角切入,或以个体城市为例探讨城市政府驻地迁移对本地经济发展的影响,缺乏对迁入区、迁出区以及城市内其他区县的多区域共同研究和大样本实证检验,也缺乏作用机制的系统探讨。本文拓展了政区地理学中城市政府驻地这一政区要素的区位迁移影响经济发展的理论框架,并构建2000—2017年的面板数据,使用双重差分法检验了地级市政府驻地迁移政策对于迁出区、迁入区和其他区县的经济影响及其路径。研究发现,城市政府驻地迁移将显著促进迁入区的经济发展,并通过溢出效应带动政府驻地迁移城市中其他区县的经济发展,对迁出区没有显著的促进或者抑制作用;产业升级和企业集聚是迁入区经济发展得到促进的重要机制,政府驻地迁移城市内部的其他区县也能通过产业升级效应受益。因此合理的城市政府驻地迁移可以作为促进城市内部不同区域共同发展的有效政策工具,但严格的论证和审批是重要前提。The city government relocation in China will stimulate the spatial reallocation of resources,thus affecting regional economic development.In previous studies,only impacts of city government relocation in single move-in or move-out districts are evaluated.More,the results are usually relied on individual city case studies.Therefore,large sample empirical studies from a multi-regional perspective are urgently needed.This paper expands the theoretical framework of the relocation impact of city government,a regional factor in political geography,on economic development,and constructs panel data from 2000 to 2017 to examine the economic performance of government relocation policy of prefecture-level cities on the move-in districts,move-out districts,and other areas and its impact path through the differencein-difference method.It is found that the government relocation could significantly promote the economic development of the move-in districts and drive the economic development of other districts and counties in the city through spillover effect,while the move-out districts are not significantly improved or damaged.Further mechanism testing show that the government relocation policy promotes local economic development through the effect of enterprise agglomeration and industrial upgrading in the move-in districts.Therefore,a reasonable relocation of city government can be an effective policy tool to promote the economic development of different regions within a city,but strict demonstration and approval are important prerequisites.

关 键 词：政府驻地迁移 行政中心 双重差分法 本地发展 经济绩效 

分 类 号：D630[政治法律—政治学] F124[政治法律—中外政治制度]