基于综合贡献率的舰船装备体系寿命评估  

System life evaluation of warship equipment based on comprehensive contribution rate

作　　者：梁新[1] 黄东京 LIANG Xin;HUANG Dongjing(Dept.of Management Engineering and Equipment Economics,Naval Univ.of Engineering,Wuhan 430033,China)

机构地区：[1]海军工程大学管理工程与装备经济系

出　　处：《海军工程大学学报》2024年第1期56-61,共6页Journal of Naval University of Engineering

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(18BGL285)。

摘　　要：为了更科学地预测装备寿命,提升装备的作战效益,从装备对体系的“综合贡献率”视角出发,探究了舰船装备“体系寿命”的评估方法。首先,基于作战环理论和非线性结构方程模型,引入二次交互项,构建舰船装备体系作战能力的指标体系,建立了体系作战效能的评估模型;然后,运用阈值法建立了舰船装备体系的复杂网络模型,基于拓扑特征统计值,构建了舰船装备体系网络结构特征的指标体系,将层次分析法与熵权法相结合来计算指标权重;最后,提出了舰船装备体系综合贡献率、体系寿命的定义和数学模型,并以航母编队体系对抗为算例,通过实验仿真数据,验证了模型和方法的可行性和有效性。In order to more scientifically predict the life of equipment and improve the operational efficiency of equipment,the evaluation method of "system life" of warship equipment was explored from the perspective of "comprehensive contribution rate" of equipment to the system.Firstly,based on the combat ring theory and the nonlinear structural equation model,the quadratic interaction term was introduced to establish the combat capability index system and the evaluation model of the combat effectiveness of the warship equipment system.And then,a complex network model of warship equipment system was established by using the threshold method.Based on the statistical values of topological features,an index system of battle structure characteristics of warship equipment system was constructed.The index weights were calculated by combining the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method.Finally the definition and mathematical model of the comprehensive contribution rate and system life of warship equipment system were put forward.Taking the aircraft carrier formation system confrontation as an example,the feasibility and effectiveness of the model and method are ve-rified by the experimental simulation data.

关 键 词：综合贡献率 体系寿命 舰船装备 非线性结构方程模型 复杂网络 

分 类 号：E92[军事—军事装备学]