OFDI逆向技术溢出与母国产业结构升级——基于门槛模型的实证研究  

OFDI Reverse Technology Spillover and the Upgrading of Home Country's Industrial Structure-An Empirical Study Based on Threshold Model

作　　者：杨秀云 张奇[2] 高拴平 从振楠 YANG Xiu-yun;ZHANG Qi;GAO Shuan-ping;CONG Zhen-nan(Business School,Xiamen Institute of Technology,Xiamen,Fujian 361021;School of Economics and Finance,Xi’an Jiaotong University,Xi’an,Shanxi 710061)

机构地区：[1]厦门工学院商学院,福建厦门361021 [2]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《江南大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2024年第1期102-116,共15页Journal of Jiangnan University：Humanities & Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家自然基金项目“文化产业融合发展的机理、演化及实现路径研究”(71974158);陕西省软科学项目“科技创新支撑数字经济核心产业产业链自主可控能力”(2023-CX-RKX-143);西安市软科学项目“数字技术赋能西安市高技术制造业创新发展研究”(22RKYJ0029)。

摘　　要：文章选取2008—2019年31个省(市)面板数据,基于产业结构高级化和产业结构合理化两个维度,利用固定效应模型研究了OFDI逆向技术溢出对中国产业结构升级的促进作用,并以制度质量、科技创新水平和经济规模为门槛变量,分析其在OFDI逆向技术溢出促进母国产业结构升级过程中的门槛效应。实证结果表明:(1)OFDI逆向技术溢出能够有效地促进中国整体产业结构高级化,但对中国整体产业结构合理化的促进作用较为一般;(2)制度质量、科技创新水平和经济规模在OFDI逆向技术溢出促进产业结构升级的过程中均存在门槛效应,且在相关指标超过门槛值后,OFDI逆向技术溢出对产业结构高级化的促进作用得到明显增强;(3)OFDI逆向技术溢出效应还存在区域异质性,体现为东部地区的促进作用更为显著。Based on the panel data of 31 provinces(cities)from the year 2008 to 2019,this paper studies the promotion effect of OFDI reverse technology spillover on industrial structure upgrading in China by using the fixed effect model,and,with system quality,technological innovation level and economic scale as threshold variables,it analyzes the threshold effect in the process of OFDI reverse technology spillover promoting industrial structure upgrading.The empirical results show that:(1)OFDI reverse technology spillover can effectively promote the upgrading of China's overall industrial structure,but the promotion of industrial structure rationalization is relatively general;(2)threshold effects can be found in institutional quality,technological innovation level and economic scale in the process of OFDI reverse technology spillover promoting industrial structure upgrading,and after the relevant indicators exceed the threshold value,the promotion is obviously enhanced;(3)the spillover effect of OFDI reverse technology still has regional heterogeneity,which is more significantly reflected in the promotion of the eastern region.

关 键 词：OFDI逆向技术溢出 产业结构升级 门槛效应 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] F121.3