交通碳排放研究综述::核算方法、影响因素及作用机理  

Review of transportation carbon emissions research:accounting methods,influencing factors,and mechanisms

作　　者：左大杰[1,2,3] 赵亮 熊巧[1] 刘志鹏[4] 王梦涛 池俞良 ZUO Dajie;ZHAO Liang;XIONG Qiao;LIU Zhipeng;WANG Mengtao;CHI Yuliang(School of Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 611756,China;National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology,Chengdu 611756,China;National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation,Chengdu 611756,China;The Planning and Natural Resources Bureau of Wenjiang District,Chengdu 611130,China;Planning and Auditing Department,Baotou Railway Vocational&Technical College,Baotou 014060,China)

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学,交通运输与物流学院,成都611756 [2]综合交通大数据应用技术国家工程实验室,成都611756 [3]综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,成都611756 [4]温江区规划和自然资源局,成都611130 [5]包头铁道职业技术学院,规划审计处,包头014060

出　　处：《交通运输工程与信息学报》2024年第1期111-127,共17页Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(15BGL003);国家铁路局项目(KF2021-29);中央高校基本科研业务费科技建设专款项目(2682022ZK003)。

摘　　要：交通运输业是碳减排的重要行业,关于交通碳排放核算方法、影响因素及作用机理的研究一直是交通碳排放研究领域的一个热点。本文从交通碳排放量核算方法、交通碳排放影响因素辨识、交通碳排放作用机理分析三个方面来进行综述。在交通碳排放量核算方法部分按照直接获取、“自上而下”法、“自下而上”法、机动车排放模型四种方法进行分类。在交通碳排放影响因素辨识部分从IPAT模型、Kaya恒等式、直接选取三点进行综述,并对近年学者们选取的影响因素进行了总结。在交通碳排放作用机理分析部分综述了脱钩模型、因素分解法、计量经济学方法、系统动力学方法,进而对用不同方法分析的交通碳排放作用机理进行了总结,其中Tapio脱钩模型和对数平均迪氏指数分解法是应用较为广泛的方法。最后,探讨了交通碳排放核算方法、影响因素及作用机理研究中的关键问题,指出本领域的研究难点主要集中于交通碳排放核算方法的优化及统一、影响因素选取体系的形成上。Transportation is an important sector for carbon emission reduction.This paper reviews the accounting methods,identification of influencing factors,and mechanisms of transportation carbon emissions(TCEs),which have recently become hot topics in carbon emissions reduction research.TCEs accounting methods are categorized into four methods:direct acquisition,“top-down”method,“bottom-up”method,and motor vehicle emission model.This study reviewed influencing factors of TCEs based on IPAT model and its extended model,Kaya’s constant equation,and selected factors that directly influence TCEs.Moreover,it summarizes the influencing factors selected by scholars in recent years.Next,this study focused on the decoupling model,factor decomposition method,econometric method,and system dynamics method as part of analyzing mechanisms that determine the role of TCEs.Based on the analysis summary,it was found that the Tapio decoupling model and LMDI method are the most widely used methods.Finally,key issues in related research are discussed.The research difficulties in this field mainly concern the optimization and unification of TCE accounting methods and the formation of the system for identifying influencing factors.

关 键 词：综合运输 碳排放量核算 影响因素 作用机理 文献综述 

分 类 号：X73[环境科学与工程—环境工程]