河北省城乡居民消费结构变动研究——基于ELES模型的实证分析  

Study on Changes in Consumption Structure of Urban and Rural Residents in Hebei Province——Empirical Analysis Based on the ELES Model

作　　者：张静 李志晓 高红志 ZHANG Jing;LI Zhi-xiao;GAO Hong-zhi(College of Mathematics and Statistics,Cangzhou Normal University,Cangzhou,Hebei 061001,China)

机构地区：[1]沧州师范学院数学与统计学院,河北沧州061001

出　　处：《沧州师范学院学报》2024年第1期36-40,共5页Journal of Cangzhou Normal University

基　　金：2022年度河北省社会科学发展研究课题“基于ELES模型的河北省城乡居民消费结构研究”,编号:No.20220202009。

摘　　要：基于ELES模型,对2013-2021年河北省城乡居民消费结构变动情况进行了研究.从边际消费倾向可以看出,随着生活水平的提高,河北省城乡居民的消费逐渐从“温饱型”向“小康型”转变.消费结构变动度分析显示,除个别年份外,居民消费结构整体变动不大,相对较稳定.通过分析消费结构熵数发现,河北省城乡居民整体消费质量较高,但是消费结构升级速度相对较慢.根据分析结果,提出了增加居民收入、优化消费环境、拓展新型消费、坚持推进城乡融合发展、提高农村居民的社会保障水平等建议.Based on the ELES model,a study was conducted on the changes in the consumption structure of urban and rural residents in Hebei Province from 2013 to 2021.From the marginal propensity to consume,it can be seen that with the improvement of living standards,the consumption of urban and rural residents in Hebei Province is gradually shifting from“basic needs”to“moderately prosperous”.The analysis of changes in consumption structure shows that,except for a few years,the overall consumption structure has not changed much and is relatively stable.By analyzing the entropy of consumption structure,it is found that the overall consumption quality of urban and rural residents in Hebei Province is relatively high,but the upgrading speed of consumption structure is relatively slow.Based on the analysis results,recommendations have been proposed to increase resident income,optimize the consumption environment,expand new types of consumption,adhere to promoting urban-rural integration development,and improve the social security level of rural residents.

关 键 词：ELES模型 河北省 城乡居民 消费结构 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]