“一带一路”倡议是否显著扩展了财政支出的随机前沿面——基于全国272个地市级城市的准自然实验  

Whether the Belt and Road Initiative Has Significantly Expanded Stochastic Frontier of Fiscal Spending:A Quasi-natural Experiment Based on 272 Prefecture-level Cities in China

作　　者：郝春虹 刘彦成 张浩 HAO Chun-hong;LIU Yan-cheng;ZHANG Hao

机构地区：[1]内蒙古财经大学财政税务学院

出　　处：《中央财经大学学报》2024年第3期26-35,共10页Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“阻断收入不平等代际传递机制研究”(项目编号:21BJL014)。

摘　　要：财政支出效率是建设中国式现代化,提升高质量经济发展的重要保障。“一带一路”倡议的实施所增加的基础设施投资和贸易合作,均需要沿线城市通过大量的地方财政支出给予支持。那么,进入该倡议体系的沿线城市是否存在一种内生动力,其财政支出是否变得更加有激励性?该政策冲击是否增进了财政支出的效率水平?笔者希望针对这一系列问题的深入研究可以揭示地方政府响应“一带一路”倡议的效率是否显著,是否有助于基础设施投资的高质量投入。我们将此倡议的实施视为一项准自然实验,基于2011—2021年全国272个地级市城市的面板数据,通过构建双重差分模型检验了“一带一路”倡议对沿线城市政府财政支出随机前沿面的影响效果,并识别了其中的影响机制。The efficiency of fiscal expenditure is an important guarantee for building a Chinese-style modernization and promoting high-quality economic development.The implementation of the“Belt and Road”initiative has increased the infrastructure investment and trade cooperation,which require the cities along the route to support them with a large amount of local fiscal expenditure.So,do the cities along the route have an endogenous motivation to join the initiative system,and do their fiscal expenditures become more incentive?Does the policy shock improve the efficiency level of fiscal expenditure?We hope the in-depth study on this issue could reveal whether the local governments respond to the“Belt and Road”initiative efficiently,and whether it helps the high-quality investment of infrastructure.We regard the implementation of this initiative as a quasi-natural experiment,based on the panel data of 272 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2021,this paper constructs a difference-in-difference model to test the impact of the“Belt and Road”initiative on the stochastic frontier of fiscal expenditure of the cities along the route,and identifies the impact mechanism.This paper s research has reference significance for further analyzing the economic effects of“Belt and Road”from the government perspective,as well as for China s policy practice of improving fiscal expenditure efficiency.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 财政支出效率 随机前沿面 双重差分模型 

分 类 号：F812.4[经济管理—财政学]