催票率:一个分析台湾地区选举的新概念探讨  

Vote Share by Eligible Voters:Exploring a New Concept in Analyzing Taiwan Region Elections

作　　者：王贞威 谭馨 WANG Zhenwei;TAN Xin

机构地区：[1]厦门大学港澳台研究中心,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《台湾研究集刊》2024年第1期41-58,共18页Taiwan Research Journal

基　　金：2023年度国家社科基金一般项目“大统战格局下壮大台湾爱国统一力量研究”(23BZZ098)。

摘　　要：催票率的计算方式为所得票数除以选举人数,代表政党或候选人从全体合格选民中动员和获得选票的能力。在能够有效说明选举结果胜负的基础上,催票率还具备受外部因素干扰小、所代表的选民范围更广等优势,在功能上能真实反映政党政治实力的消长和民意基础的变化。催票率概念的应用旨在作为一种理论补充以弥补得票率在选举分析中的缺陷和不足,更科学全面地观察台湾地区的选举活动和政党政治。Vote share by eligible voters is a concept representing the ability of a political party or candidate to mobilize and obtain votes from all eligible voters,calculated by dividing the number of votes obtained by the number of electors.Apart from effectively explaining the outcomes of elections,this rate also has the advantages of being less influenced by external factors and representing a broader range of voters.Functionally,it can more accurately reflect political party strength fluctuations and public opinion shifts.The application of the concept of vote share by eligible voters serves as a theoretical supplement to address the limitations and deficiencies of vote rate analysis in election studies.It offers a more scientific and comprehensive perspective on electoral politics and party politics in Taiwan region.

关 键 词：中国台湾“大选” “九合一”选举 催票率 得票率 

分 类 号：D675.8[政治法律—政治学]