18世纪中国的粮价、社会冲突与公共品供给:地区异质性与政府-社会的互补作用  

Elite or State:Grain Prices,Social Conflicts,and Provision of Public Goods in Eighteenth-Century China

作　　者：颜色[1] 刘丛 YAN Se;LIU Cong(Peking University;Jinan University)

机构地区：[1]北京大学光华管理学院 [2]暨南大学经济与社会研究院,510632

出　　处：《经济学（季刊）》2024年第1期205-219,共15页China Economic Quarterly

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71803113、71973006);广州市哲学社会科学发展“十三五”规划项目(2020GZGJ42);用友基金会(2021-Y05)的资助。

摘　　要：本文使用1742年至1795年的府级面板数据,考察政府与地方士绅提供的公共品是否能缓解粮价波动引起的社会冲突。实证分析发现,虽然粮价上涨在全国范围内引起社会冲突,但这一影响在华北和长江下游地区仅为全国的24%,表明两地可能存在某些社会稳定机制。进一步分析显示,政府在华北粮价平抑中发挥了主导作用,而士绅群体对缓解长江下游地区的粮价波动更为有效;这一差别可能源自两地社会经济结构的差异。We use prefecture-level panel data from 1742 to 1795 to investigate the mitigating effects of government granaries and community services during food crises,exploring regional variations.The results indicate that,while higher grain prices typically led to increased conflicts across China,this trend did not hold in the North and the Lower Yangtze.Further examinations reveal that the government played a dominant role in reducing conflicts in the North,whereas local elites were more effective in the Lower Yangtze.These variations are likely attributed to the distinct socioeconomic structures in the two regions.

关 键 词：政府仓储 社会组织 社会稳定 

分 类 号：K249.3[历史地理—历史学] F329[历史地理—中国史]