考虑需求响应及不确定性的综合能源优化调度  

Optimal Dispatching of Integrated Energy Considering Demand Response and Uncertainties

作　　者：张涛[1,2] 田凤[1] 杨航 赵天悦 刘伉 黄明娟 ZHANG Tao;TIAN Feng;YANG Hang;ZHAO Tianyue;LIU Kang;HUANG Mingjuan(College of Electrical Engineering&New Energy,China Three Gorges University,Yichang 443002,China;Hubei Provincial Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Energy Technology,China Three Gorges University,Yichang 443002,China)

机构地区：[1]三峡大学电气与新能源学院,宜昌443002 [2]三峡大学智慧能源技术湖北省工程研究中心,宜昌443002

出　　处：《电力系统及其自动化学报》2024年第2期1-10,共10页Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(52007103)。

摘　　要：如何在区域综合能源系统中建立有效的需求侧模型,对于需求响应政策的实施至关重要。为提高用户参与需求响应积极性,引入实时定价机制,同时考虑系统的经济低碳性和电气热用户的用能满意度,构建兼顾系统和用户利益的综合需求响应主从博弈模型。针对用户参与需求响应的不确定性,引入贝叶斯方法更新负荷曲线。算例分析表明,所提博弈模型及贝叶斯方法能够有效平衡系统和用户之间的利益,提高了综合需求响应的可靠性。How to establish an effective demand-side model in a regional integrated energy system is crucial to the im⁃plementation of demand response policy.To improve the enthusiasm of users participating in demand response,a realtime pricing mechanism is introduced,and the low-carbon economy of the system and the energy consumption satisfac⁃tion of electricity,gas and heat users are both considered to establish a Stackelberg game model of integrated demand response,which strikes a balance between the interest of the system and those of users.In view of the uncertainties of demand response in which the users participate,the Bayesian approach is introduced to update the load curve.The anal⁃ysis of examples shows that the proposed game model and the Bayesian approach can effectively balance the interests of the system and users,thus improving the reliability of integrated demand response.

关 键 词：区域综合能源系统 综合需求响应 碳交易 实时定价 用户满意度 贝叶斯方法 

分 类 号：TM732[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]