美国加征关税与我国产品出口变动  

The Impact of US Tariff on China Goods Export

作　　者：王宝顺[1] 刘刚[1] 于楚榕 WANG Bao-shun;LIU Gang;YU Chu-rong(School of Public Finance and Taxation,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan,Hubei 430073,China;Qingdao Power Supply company,Qingdao,Shandong 266000)

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学财政税务学院,湖北武汉430073 [2]国网青岛供电公司,山东青岛266000

出　　处：《贵州财经大学学报》2024年第2期22-30,共9页Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金项目“数字经济下我国地区间税收分配失衡及其治理研究”(22BJY032)。

摘　　要：基于2017~2020年HS6位码产品贸易月度数据,采用双重差分法分轮次评估了美国对华加征关税对我国产品出口的影响。研究发现,加征关税虽然抑制了我国输美产品的出口贸易额,降低了我国输美产品的出口竞争力,但也间接丰富了我国产品出口流向及路径。异质性分析表明加征关税对我国消费品和采用加工贸易方式出口的产品影响更显著。进一步分析表明加征关税对我国输美出口产品质量和产品结构产生了负面影响。本文拓展了美国加征关税经济效应的研究,为我国应对国际经贸摩擦、推进更高水平对外开放提供了政策参考。This article is based on monthly trade data for HS6 code products from 2017 to 2020.It employs a double-difference method to assess the impact of the additional tariffs imposed by the United States on Chinese exports.The study reveals that while the tariffs have suppressed the export value of Chinese products to the U.S.and diminished the competitiveness of such exports,they have indirectly diversified the destinations and pathways of Chinese product exports.Heterogeneous analysis results indicate that the impact of the tariffs is more pronounced on Chinese consumer goods and products exported through processing trade.Further analysis indicates that the imposition of tariffs has had a negative impact on the quality and structure of China's exports to the united states.This research contributes to the understanding of the economic effects of U.S.tariffs and provides policy insights for China in dealing with international economic and trade frictions,as well as advancing a higher level of openness to the outside world.

关 键 词：贸易摩擦 关税 产品出口 双重差分法 

分 类 号：F745[经济管理—国际贸易] F752[经济管理—产业经济]