中国大健康产业统计分类与产业规模再测算  

Statistical Classification and Recalculation of China’s Big Health Industry Scale

作　　者：陶春海[1] 熊琦哲 Tao Chunhai;Xiong Qizhe(School of Statistics and Data Science,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学统计与数据科学学院,南昌330013

出　　处：《统计与决策》2024年第5期33-38,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(21&ZD150);江西省社会科学基金青年项目(23YJ20);江西省研究生创新专项资金资助项目(YC2022-B145)。

摘　　要：由于产业间深度融合,新业态、新模式持续涌现,健康产业的边界不断拓展,原有的健康产业统计分类已不能满足大健康产业的统计需要,官方统计也未测算出健康产业增加值,无法全面、及时反映大健康产业的发展状况。因此,文章首先在健康产业基础上从供给和需求角度界定并拓展大健康产业的内涵及外延;其次,在《健康产业统计分类(2019)》的基础上,基于国民经济核算理论,引入“大健康总产品”概念,聚焦“全生命周期”和“全人群”两个着力点,从全产业链产品供给及全口径人群健康需求两个视角探讨大健康产业统计分类标准,补充和完善大健康产业统计分类;最后,依据现有的投入产出表、经济普查及统计年鉴数据,计算各行业的大健康分离系数,据此推算我国大健康产业及健康服务业增加值。结果显示:2018年我国大健康产业增加值为10.27万亿元,其中健康服务业增加值为7.04万亿元,预测2020年、2030年健康服务业增加值分别为8.46万亿元、21.27万亿元,基本符合《“健康中国2030”规划纲要》对健康服务业发展规模的预期。Due to the deep integration between industries,new formats and new models continue to emerge,and the boundar-ies of health industry continue to expand;the original statistical classification of health industry can no longer meet the statistical needs of the big health industry,and the official statistics have not measured the added value of health industry,which cannot fully and timely reflect the development of big health industry.In view of this,this paper first defines and expands the connotation and extension of big health industry from the perspective of supply and demand on the basis of health industry.Secondly,based on the Statistical Classification of Health Industry(2019)and the theory of national economic accounting,the paper introduces the con-cept of“big health total product”,focuses on the two points of“whole life cycle”and“whole population”,and discusses the statis-tical classification standard of big health industry from the perspectives of product supply of the whole industry chain and health demand of the whole caliber population,supplements and improves the statistical classification of big health industries.Finally,according to the existing input-output table,economic census and statistical yearbook data,the big health separation coefficient of each industry is calculated,based on which the added value of big health industry and health services in China is calculated.The results show that the added value of China’s big health industry in 2018 is 10.27 trillion yuan,of which the added value of health service industry is 7.04 trillion yuan.It is estimated that the added value of health service industry in 2020 and 2030 is 8.46 tril-lion yuan and 21.27 trillion yuan respectively,which is basically in line with the expectation of the development scale of health service industry in Outline of the Healthy China 2030 Plan.

关 键 词：大健康产业 统计分类标准 统计分类 增加值测算 

分 类 号：F222.33[经济管理—国民经济]