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作 者:王旭 徐永智[2] Wang Xu;Xu Yongzhi
机构地区:[1]中国现代国际关系研究院海洋战略研究所 [2]中国现代国际关系研究院东北亚研究所日本安全研究室
出 处:《现代国际关系》2024年第2期100-120,140,共22页
摘 要:日本“印太战略”由时任首相安倍晋三提出,经现任首相岸田文雄继承和发展,已经逐步确立。当下日本“印太战略”理念宽泛,议题和伙伴广泛,泛安全化色彩浓重,是兼具结盟性、遏华性、安全性和全球性的综合国际战略。日本强化“印太战略”受维系经济强国地位、“政治大国”夙愿以及遏制中国等考虑的驱动,将影响全球发展、损害区域海洋安全、干扰中国统一进程。同时,日本强化“印太战略”也面临着战略透支、经济基础不稳和外部支持不牢三重制约,这些制约因素虽难以在短期内扭转日本强化“印太战略”的方向,但将限制其成效。Japan's“Indo-Pacific Strategy”was proposed by late Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.It has been inherited and developed by incumbent Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.The new version of Japan's“Indo-Pacific Strategy”has broader scope with a“universal”concept,a wide range of topics and partners,and strong securitization and pan-security overtones.It is a comprehensive international strategy of Japan that combines attributes of alliance,anti-China containment,security,and global orientation.Japan's strengthening of its“Indo-Pacific Strategy”is driven by considerations such as maintaining its status as an economic power,its long-cherished desire to become a“political power,”and containing China.It will undermine global development,harm regional maritime security,and interfere with China's reunification process.Japan's“Indo-Pacific Strategy”faces triple constraints,including strategic overdraft,unstable economic environment,and weak external support.Although the above constraints may be difficult to reverse the direction of Japan's efforts for its“Indo-Pacific Strategy”in the short term,its effectiveness will be limited.
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