中澳两国免疫规划疫苗需求预测和管理比较  

Comparison of Immunization Program Vaccine Demand Forecasting and Management between China and Australia

作　　者：王悦[1] 吴博 王莹莹 李玟 刘保华[1] 付朝伟[2] Wang Yue;Wu Bo;Wang Yingying;Li Wen;Liu Baohua;Fu Chaowei(Office of Asset Management,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing,102206,China)

机构地区：[1]中国疾病预防控制中心资产管理处,北京102206 [2]复旦大学公共卫生学院/国家卫生健康委卫生技术评估重点实验室,上海200032

出　　处：《中国初级卫生保健》2024年第3期80-83,共4页Chinese Primary Health Care

摘　　要：疫苗需求量预测是影响疫苗可及性的关键,对疫苗需求量进行合理预测是保证疫苗可持续性的基础;疫苗流通和接种过程的管理也会在一定程度上影响地区免疫规划的实施与效果。该研究通过分析、比较中国和澳大利亚疫苗需求估算方法和相关影响因素,以及两国国家免疫计划管理的异同,为完善我国免疫规划管理提供合理借鉴。Vaccine demand forecasting stands resolutely as the linchpin for fostering vaccine accessibility.The efficacious man⁃agement of vaccine distribution and the vaccination process significantly impact the realization and efficacy of regional immunization programs.The article undertakes an analysis and comparative evaluation of the resemblances and disparities in vaccine demand esti⁃mation methodologies and management of national immunization programs between China and Australia,then explored the reference from Australia to China in the development of the national immunization planning system.

关 键 词：疫苗 预测方法模型 免疫规划 管理 

分 类 号：R186[医药卫生—流行病学]