基于CM-FCE-AHP的战时维修器材供应保障能力评价研究  

Research on Evaluation of Wartime Maintenance Equipment Supply Ability Based on CM-FCE-AHP

作　　者：王金帼 王亚彬 郭宇荣 王帅 赵建民 马飒飒 WANG Jinguo;WANG Yabin;GUO Yurong;WANG Shuai;ZHAO Jianmin;MA Sasa(Shijiazhuang Campus,Army Engineering University of PLA,Shijiazhuang 050003,Hebei,China;Hebei Key Laboratory of Condition Monitoring and Assessment of Mechanical Equipment,Shijiazhuang 050003,Hebei,China;Unit 32181 of PLA,Xi'an 710000,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]陆军工程大学石家庄校区,河北石家庄050003 [2]河北省机械设备状态监测与评价重点实验室,河北石家庄050003 [3]32181部队,陕西西安710000

出　　处：《兵工学报》2024年第3期1010-1024,共15页Acta Armamentarii

摘　　要：战时维修器材供应保障具有高度的复杂性、随机性和动态性,导致战时维修器材供应保障评价的不确定性和模糊性。以战时维修器材供应保障任务与流程为依据构建保障能力评价指标体系,提出一种基于云模型的层次分析法和模糊综合评价方法,对战时维修器材供应保障能力进行客观评价。利用云模型对判断矩阵进行标度并聚合,得到指标权重,降低权重计算的主观性和随机性;利用云模型描述评价矩阵,得到隶属度矩阵。评价结果表明,指标体系能够很好地反映战时维修器材供应保障能力,改进的综合评价方法能有效解决战时维修器材供应保障能力评价中的高度模糊性和不确定性,提高评价结果的鲁棒性和客观性。The supply support of wartime maintenance equipment is highly complex,random and dynamic,which leads to the uncertainty and fuzziness in the evaluation of wartime maintenance equipment supply support.A support ability evaluation indicator system is constructed based on the supply support tasks and processes of wartime maintenance equipment.An analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation(FCE)method based on cloud model(CM)are proposed to objectively evaluate the supply support ability of wartime maintenance equipment.An indicator weight is obtained by using the cloud model to scale and aggregate the judgment matrix,which reduces the subjectivity and randomness of weight calculation.A membership matrix is obtained by using the cloud model to describe the evaluation matrix.The evaluated results show that the indicator system can well reflect the effect of wartime maintenance equipment supply support,and the improved comprehensive evaluation method can effectively solve the high fuzziness and uncertainty in the evaluation of wartime maintenance equipment supply support ability,and improve the robustness and objectivity of the evaluated results.

关 键 词：战时维修器材供应保障 模糊综合评价 层次分析法 云模型 模糊性 

分 类 号：E939[军事—军事装备学]