农业产业集聚对农业碳排放的影响——基于环境规制的调节效应研究  

The Impact of Agricultural Industry Agglomeration on Agricultural Carbon Emissions: Research on the Moderating Effect Based on Environmental Regulation

作　　者：张红凤[1] 丁相江 于法稳[2,3] 刘淼 ZHANG Hongfeng;DING Xiangjiang;YU Fawen;LIU Miao(Faculty of Public Administration,Shandong University of Finance and Economics,Jinan Shandong 250014,China;Rural Development Institute,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100732,China;Eco-Environmental Economics Research Center,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100732,China)

机构地区：[1]山东财经大学公共管理学院,山东济南250014 [2]中国社会科学院农村发展研究所,北京100732 [3]中国社会科学院生态环境经济研究中心,北京100732

出　　处：《生态经济》2024年第3期112-120,共9页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“加快建设农业废弃物资源化利用政策研究”(17AZD012);山东省社会科学规划项目“山东‘在服务和融入新发展格局上走在前’的问题与路径研究”(22CZTJ23);山东省人文社会科学课题“山东服务和融入新发展格局研究”(2022-YYGL-08);山东省社科理论重点研究基地山东财经大学新旧动能转换研究基地资助。

摘　　要：利用2003—2020年中国31个省份的面板数据,通过构建回归方程模型并运用协整检验、系统GMM方法研究了农业产业集聚对农业碳排放的影响以及环境规制所发挥的调节效应。结果发现:在国家层面,农业碳排放受到农业产业集聚的影响显现出“非线性关系”,即随着农业产业集聚程度的上升,农业碳排放总量呈先上升后下降的倒“U”型特征,并且在农业产业集聚对农业碳排放的影响中显著受到了环境规制的调节效应;而在地区层面,东部、中部和西部地区的农业碳排放均受到农业产业集聚的影响显现出先上升后下降的倒“U”型特征,但环境规制在农业产业集聚对农业碳排放的影响中的调节效应仅在东部和西部地区显著存在。Based on panel data from 31 provinces in China from 2003 to 2020,this paper studies the influence of agricultural agglomeration on agricultural carbon emissions while examining the moderating role of environmental regulation.It achieves this through the construction of regression equation models and the application of cointegration tests and system GMM methods.The results show that,at the national level,agricultural carbon emissions are affected by the agglomeration of agricultural industries in a“non-linear relationship”.As the agricultural industry agglomeration degree increases,the total agricultural carbon emissions show an inverted U shaped characteristic.And environmental regulations in this process present a significant moderating effect.The agglomeration of the agricultural industry influences agricultural carbon emissions in the three regions at the regional level,displaying an inverted U-shaped characteristic.However,the moderating effect of environmental regulations is significant only in the eastern and western regions,not in the central.

关 键 词：产业集聚 农业碳排放 环境规制 调节效应 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F323[经济管理—产业经济]