中国包装印刷百强企业时空演变特征及其影响因素研究  

A Study on Spatial and Temporal Evolutionary Characteristics of China’s Top 100 Packaging and Printing Enterprises and Their Influencing Factors

作　　者：朱文娟[1,2] 曾豪 邓彬 ZHU Wenjuan;ZENG Hao;DENG Bin(College of Business,Hunan University of Technology,Zhuzhou Hunan 412007,China;Hunan Packaging Economy Research Base,Hunan University of Technology,Zhuzhou Hunan 412007,China;College of Computer Science,Hunan University of Technology,Zhuzhou Hunan 412007,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南工业大学商学院,湖南株洲412007 [2]湖南工业大学湖南省包装经济研究基地,湖南株洲412007 [3]湖南工业大学计算机学院,湖南株洲412007

出　　处：《包装学报》2024年第1期24-33,共10页Packaging Journal

基　　金：湖南省包装经济研究基地基金资助项目(2022BZJG04)。

摘　　要：基于中国包装印刷百强企业数据,采用标准差椭圆、核密度估计、热点分析和地理探测器等方法,对中国包装印刷百强企业的时空演变特征及其影响因素进行了系统分析。结果表明:1)2012—2022年中国包装印刷百强企业呈现出由沿海向内陆扩散的趋势。2)包装印刷百强企业在“胡焕庸线”以东出现明显的空间集聚特征,其中长江三角洲与珠江三角洲是主要分布地。3)近十年冷热点分布格局较为稳定,热点与次热点主要位于河南、安徽、湖北、浙江、广东和山东,冷点地区处于西北部及东北部。4)包装印刷百强企业空间布局主要受国际贸易水平、劳动力水平、区域经济实力和区域政策等因素影响,市场规模对包装印刷百强企业空间分布影响力逐渐增强;相较于单因素的独立作用,两个影响因素交互作用产生的影响力更强。Based on the data of China’s top 100 packaging and printing enterprises,the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of China’s top 100 packaging and printing enterprises are systematically analyzed using standard deviation ellipsoids,kernel density estimation,hot spot analysis and GeoDetector.The results show that:1)From 2012 to 2022,China’s top 100 packaging and printing enterprises show a trend of spreading from the coast to the inland.2)Top 100 packaging and printing enterprises have obvious spatial clustering characteristics east of the Hu Line,with the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta being the main distribution sites.3)The distribution of cold and hot spots is relatively stable in the last decade,with hot spots and sub-hot spots mainly located in Henan,Anhui,Hubei,Zhejiang,Guangdong and Shandong,and cold spots in the northwestern and northeastern.4)The spatial distribution of top 100 packaging and printing enterprises is mainly affected by factors such as international trade level,labor force,regional economic strength and regional policies,and the influence of market scale on the spatial distribution of top 100 enterprises in the packaging and printing sector has gradually increased.Compared with the independent effect of a single factor,the influence of two influencing factors is stronger when they interact.

关 键 词：包装印刷 百强企业 时空演变 地理探测器 影响因素 

分 类 号：F263[经济管理—国民经济]