2008年全球粮食危机的成因及启示——石油、金融联动视角下的分析  

The Causes and Enlightenment of Global Food Crisis in 2008:An Analysis From an Interactive Perspective among Food,Oil and Finance

作　　者：徐振伟[1] Xu Zhenwei(Zhou Enlai School of Government,Nankai University,Tianjin 300350,China)

机构地区：[1]南开大学周恩来政府管理学院,天津300350

出　　处：《长沙理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第2期113-121,共9页Journal of Changsha University of Science and Technology：Social Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(22BGJ012)。

摘　　要：2008年爆发的全球性粮食危机范围之广、影响程度之深均超过了之前的历次危机。并且,此次粮食危机与石油、金融之间存在密切的联动关系。一方面,油价的上涨增加了粮食产业链各环节诸如生产、运输、加工的成本,从而带动了粮价的高涨,并且美国基于油价高涨大力发展生物能源,人为制造的粮食短缺又进一步加剧了粮食危机。另一方面,美国为解决国内金融危机实施量化宽松的货币政策,美元的过剩性流动和美元的贬值推高了国际粮价,而金融资本的投机炒作又加重了粮价飙升。在粮食能源化、粮食金融化的综合作用之下,粮食市场的波动性不断加剧,粮食的能源属性和金融属性逐渐突显。The global food crisis that erupted in 2008 was much broader and deeper than any previous food crisis.Moreover,there was a close linkage between this food crisis and both oil and finance.On the one hand,the rise in oil price had increased the cost of production,transportation and processing in all links of food industry chain,thus driving up food price;furthermore,the United States had made great efforts to develop bio-energy based on oil high price,which had further exacerbated the food crisis by creating artificial food shortage.On the other hand,the United States had implemented a monetary policy of quantitative easing to solve his domestic financial crisis,and the excess flow of and the depreciation of U.S.dollar had pushed up international food price,while the speculation of financial capital has caused food price to soar.Under the combined effect of food energization and financialization,the food market was increasingly volatile,and the energy and financial attributes of food became gradually dominant.

关 键 词：粮食危机 粮食能源化 粮食金融化 

分 类 号：F307.11[经济管理—产业经济]