Prospects for China's Agricultural Modernization by 2035  

作　　者：WANG Yahua ZANG Liangzhen SU Yiqing 

机构地区：[1]School of Public Policy&Management,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China [2]China Institute for Rural Studies,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China [3]Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081,China [4]School of Public Policy&Management,Guangxi University,Nanning 530004,China

出　　处：《China Economic Transition》2023年第4期399-415,共17页当代中国经济转型研究（英文版）

基　　金：the program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71573151);the program of National Social Science Foundation of China(No.18VSJ021);the key program of China lnstitute for Rural Studies,Tsinghua University(No.CIRS2017-11).

摘　　要：An important task of China's agricultural development is to achieve modernization in all respects.The rural revitalization strategy was first introduced in the report to the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China.This strategy now stands as the general guiding principle and central task of China's agricultural initiatives in the new era and serves as a pivotal move toward advancing agricultural modernization.Taking into consideration the current situation of China's agricultural development,the authors analyze the factors driving agricultural modernization and project the trajectory of agricultural modernization by 2035.The findings indicate that China has created a conducive institutional and development environment in production,consumption,,industry,science and technology,trade,etc.,thereby laying a solid foundation for its agricultural modernization.Projections suggest that by 2035,China will establish itself as the world's preeminent nation inagricultural lproductionnand consumption,a powerhouse in agricultural industrialization and agricultural product trading,and a leading country in agricultural science and technology.However,China still faces tremendous challenges in terms of consumption structures,quality requirements,industria1l development,format innovation,production methods,service functions,scientific and technological levels,and personnel structure.Therefore,on the path to agricultural modernization,China still needs to advance the structural reforms on the agricultural supply side,shift its agricultural production and operation methods,elevate its level of opening up in agriculture,and foster a deeper integration between urban and rural areas.

关 键 词：agricultural modernization PROSPECT CHALLENGE STRATEGY ENVIRONMENT 

分 类 号：F320[经济管理—产业经济]