考虑耦合作用的电网业务组合投资优化  

Optimization of Power Grid Business Portfolio Investment Considering Coupling Effects

作　　者：王永利[1] 马子奔 秦雨萌 卢艳超 蔺媛[3] WANG Yongli;MA Ziben;QIN Yumeng;LU Yanchao;LIN Yuan(School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China;State Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 102209,China;School of New Energy,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206 [2]国网经济技术研究院有限公司,北京102209 [3]华北电力大学新能源学院,北京102206

出　　处：《中国电力》2024年第3期197-205,共9页Electric Power

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目资助(面向国家能源安全的智慧能源创新模式与政策协同机制研究,19ZDA081);国家电网有限公司科技项目(双碳背景下综合能源系统多市场—多主体交易优化理论与关键技术研究及应用示范,SGJNDK00JBJS2100255)。

摘　　要：电网业务正处于传统业务向新兴业务变革的关键时期,由于电网业务发展的多样性,应考虑业务的相互影响,准确量化业务投资价值。分析业务间耦合作用,构建业务耦合作用评价体系,并通过Choquet模糊积分量化了电网业务耦合程度,构建适应未来发展新环境的电网业务投资价值评价体系,构建了考虑耦合作用的电网业务组合投资优化模型。在算例中,包含综合能源业务、储能业务、电动汽车业务的组合投资价值最高,为2.024,其中,业务基础投资价值为1.870,耦合投资价值为0.154。通过算例分析验证了考虑电网业务耦合作用的必要性与投资优化模型的适用性,支撑电网公司制定电网业务组合投资决策。Power grid business is in a critical period of transformation from traditional business to emerging business.Due to the diversity of grid business development,the interplay between businesses should be considered to accurately quantify the investment value of businesses.This paper analyzes the coupling effect between businesses,constructs an evaluation system of business coupling effects to quantify the degree of grid business coupling through Choquet fuzzy integral,constructs an evaluation system of grid business investment value suitable for the new environment of future development,and constructs an optimization model of grid business portfolio investment taking into account the coupling effects.In the case study,the portfolio investment value,covering the comprehensive energy business,energy storage business and electric vehicle business,is 2.024,ranking the highest,among which,the basic investment value of business is 1.87 and the coupling investment value is 0.154.The case study verifies the necessity to consider the grid business coupling and the applicability of the investment optimization model.The results of this study can provide a support for the grid company to make the grid business portfolio investment decision.

关 键 词：电网业务 耦合作用 CHOQUET模糊积分 投资价值 投资优化 

分 类 号：F426.61[经济管理—产业经济]