川渝两地水资源与社会经济协同发展评价  

Evaluation of the Coordinated Development of Water Resources and Social Economy in Sichuan and Chongqing

作　　者：蒯萌 盛进路[1] KUAI Meng;SHENG Jin-u(Traffic and Transportation College,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学交通运输学院,重庆400074

出　　处：《海河水利》2024年第3期7-13,共7页Haihe Water Resources

基　　金：重庆社会科学规划项目(2021NDYBO77)。

摘　　要：探究川渝两地水资源与社会经济协同发展现状及其影响因素,以更好地促进川渝水资源和社会经济可持续协调发展。以复合系统协同原理为指导,构建川渝两地水资源、社会经济复合系统协同度模型,综合评价川渝两地2012—2021年水资源与社会经济系统协调度水平及演化趋势。结果表明,川渝两地复合系统协同度总体呈波动上升趋势,处于高度不协同和中度不协同之间,在2021年发展至轻度不协同状态;水资源系统有序度波动较大是影响协同度不稳定发展的主要原因,表征水资源本底条件和开发利用的序参量是影响系统有序度的主要变量。The current situation and influencing factors of coordinated development between water resources and socio-economic development in Sichuan and Chongqing were explored,in order to better promote the sustainable and coordinated development of water resources and socio-economic development in Sichuan and Chongqing.Guided by the principle of composite system collaboration,a collaborative degree model for water resources and socio-economic composite systems in Sichuan and Chongqing was constructed to comprehensively evaluate the coordination level and evolution trend of water resources and socio-economic systems in Sichuan and Chongqing from 2012 to 2021.The results showed that the overall synergy of the composite system between Sichuan and Chongqing showed a fluctuating upward trend,between high and moderate non synergy,and developed to a mild non synergy state in 2021;the significant fluctuation in the order degree of water resources system was the main reason for the unstable development of synergy,and the order parameters characterizing the background conditions and development and utilization of water resources were the main variables affecting the order degree of the system.

关 键 词：水资源 协同度 复合系统 川渝 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]