基于AHP-模糊综合评价法的化工园区雷电灾害风险评估  

Lightning Disaster Regional Risk Assessment of Chemical Industrial Park Based on AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

作　　者：张健 郭杰[3] 钱辉 韩建广 王霞 李翠玉[3] 李月英 庄士千 ZHANG Jian;GUO Jie;QIAN Hui;HAN Jianguang;WANG Xia;LI Cuiyu;LI Yueying;ZHUANG Shiqian(Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Ecological Environment of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021,China;China Meteorological Administration Xiong'an Atmospheric Boundary Layer Key Laboratory,Xiong'an 071800,China;Raoyang National Climate Observatory,Hengshui 053000,China;Hebei Hengshui High-tech Industrial Development Zone Administration of Work Safety,Hengshui 053000,China)

机构地区：[1]河北省气象与生态环境重点实验室,河北石家庄050021 [2]中国气象局雄安大气边界层重点开放实验室,河北雄安071800 [3]饶阳国家气候观象台,河北衡水053000 [4]河北衡水高新技术产业开发区应急管理局,河北衡水053000

出　　处：《云南师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2024年第2期43-48,共6页Journal of Yunnan Normal University:Natural Sciences Edition

基　　金：衡水市科技计划资助项目(2019014084Z)。

摘　　要：为了评估化工园区的雷电灾害区域风险,选取包含园区等级、经济产值、区域防雷安全管理和防雷检查覆盖率等在内的19个评估指标,采用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法,建立化工园区雷电灾害区域风险评估模型,并对河北衡水高新区化工片区开展雷电灾害区域风险评估,以发现化工片区的雷灾隐患点和防雷措施薄弱环节,确定科学的防雷减灾策略,有效保障园区内生产安全和人员生命财产安全.In order to evaluate the regional risk of lightning disasters in the chemical park,19 evaluation indicators including park level,economic output value,regional lightning protection safety management,and lightning protection inspection coverage were selected.The analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method were used to establish a regional risk assessment model for lightning disasters in the chemical park,and a lightning disaster regional risk assessment was conducted on the chemical area of Hengshui High tech Zone in Hebei.Identifying potential lightning hazards and weak links in lightning protection measures in the chemical industry area can help determine scientific lightning protection and disaster reduction strategies,effectively ensuring production safety and the safety of personnel and property in the park.

关 键 词：化工园区 雷电灾害 区域风险评估 层次分析法 模糊综合评价法 

分 类 号：P429[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]