决策者期望下虚拟孵化生态系统的群体最优利益分配模型  

Group Optimal Profit Distribution Model for Virtual Incubation Ecosystem under Decision-maker’ s Expectation

作　　者：王超发 杨德林[2] WANG Chaofa;YANG Delin(School of Economics and Management,Xidian University,Xi’an 710126,China;School of Economics and Management,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China)

机构地区：[1]西安电子科技大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710126 [2]清华大学经济管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《运筹与管理》2024年第2期43-48,共6页Operations Research and Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(72002163);国家社会科学基金重大项目(17ZDA051);国家自然科学基金重点项目(71834006)。

摘　　要：基于生态系统的群体决策者对其孵化项目所获得的收益预期(分为乐观和悲观两类),构建了决策者期望下虚拟孵化生态系统的群体最优利益分配模型,并给出了考虑群体加入意愿的最优利益分配约束条件。最后,通过洪泰智能制造案例分析了群体最优利益分配对其乐观(和悲观)期望值的敏感性。结果表明:在某群体持乐观期望情形下,其最优利益分配为孵化项目所得总利益的线性增函数,为联盟所有成员乐观期望值总和的线性减函数;在边际贡献相同情况下,群体最优利益分配从大到小依次为孵化器、高校或科研机构、创投机构和中介机构。结论不但弥补了“互联网+”下虚拟孵化器的模型分析理论,而且对虚拟孵化器的创新决策具有现实指导意义。With the rapid development of“Internet+”,the incubation function of science and technology business incubators in China has gradually formed a whole process and multi-level virtual incubation ecosystem supported by multiple forces and promoted by multiple mechanisms.In these systems,through cooperation with incubated enterprises,governments,scientific research institutions,venture capital institutions and other groups,the incubator integrates the resources of each group and turns them into professional science and technology entrepreneurial resources.However,when it comes to distributing the benefits obtained after the incubation project,not all the groups involved in the incubation are able to distribute the desired benefits.In fact,the benefits accruing to participants are highly differentiated.In addition,existing studies regard groups in the ecosystem as homogenous individuals who passively accept benefit arrangements,which find it difficult to explain the phenomenon of group performance differences.In this context,in order to make the benefit distribution of incubation projects more equitable,it is of great practical significance and theoretical value to explore the group optimal benefit distribution model of virtual incubation ecosystem based on the expectation of group decision makers.Although the current studies have pointed out that the groups(participants)in the incubator ecosystem have the characteristics of centralized decision-making,they have ignored the limited rationality of decision makers,and have not involved the cooperation strategies of participants in the incubator ecosystem.They mainly focus on the physical incubation ecosystem,while the related research on the virtual incubation ecosystem is less and only stays at the macro level.In view of this,the relevant concepts are first defined according to the research theme.Secondly,based on the population characteristics of the virtual incubation ecosystem,the model hypothesis is proposed.Thirdly,based on the model hypothesis,the optimal bene

关 键 词：决策者期望 合作博弈 虚拟孵化生态系统 最优利益分配 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]