美国对华“战略阻断”行为及其困境  

United States'Strategic Blockade of China and Its Dilemma

作　　者：李义虎 Li Yihu(School of International Studies;Peking University;the National Association for International Political Studies of Universities)

机构地区：[1]School of International Studies [2]Peking University [3]the National Association for International Political Studies of Universities

出　　处：《Contemporary International Relations》2023年第6期106-128,共23页现代国际关系（英文版）

摘　　要：A hegemonic power can impose a strategic blockade on a rising nation when the latter’s power reaches a critical threshold.In such a case,the hegemonic power could utilize economic,political,military,and other strategies to maintain its status and obstruct the growth of the rising nation.Two critical thresholds have traditionally been established for rising nations:the first breach occurs when the rising nation achieves 60%of the GDP of the hegemonic power,and the second occurs at the 80%mark.After World War II,the United States tended to safeguard its hegemony by imposing strategic blockades against rising nations usually when they infringed the 60%threshold.Since the United States launched a trade war against China in March 2018,the Trump and Biden administrations have executed two rounds of comprehensive containment and suppression actions against China.The consequent extreme pressure and high-intensity competition have resulted in intensive deterioration of bilateral relations.This case is the latest example of a hegemonic country implementing a strategic blockade against a rising country.The momentum of China’s rise is irreversible,and the country has already surpassed three-quarters of the power share of the United States.Therefore,the United States now faces a dilemma regarding the strategic blockade imposed on China.As a rising power,China should comprehensively understand the laws,define an appropriate national strategy,and effectively employ diplomacy.By doing so,China can effectively counter the strategic blockade imposed by the United States,protect its core interests,and ensure world peace and development.

关 键 词：critical thresholds competition with China strategic choices strategic blockade United States 

分 类 号：D822.371.2[政治法律—政治学]