多维邻近性与流动人口家庭迁移的迁入地选择  

Multi-dimensional Proximity and the Destination Selection of Floating Population’s Family Migration

作　　者：黄志基[1] 刘博雅 易成栋[4] HUANG Zhi-ji;LIU Bo-ya;YI Cheng-dong(School of Government,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101;College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing100049;School of Management Science and Engineering,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学政府管理学院,北京100081 [2]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 [3]中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京100049 [4]中央财经大学管理科学与工程学院,北京100081

出　　处：《南方人口》2024年第2期1-13,共13页South China Population

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72274229);国家自然科学基金面上项目(72174220);教育部人文科学基金一般项目(21YJAZH104);中央财经大学一流学科建设项目(2022)。

摘　　要：理解流动人口核心家庭迁移模式和迁入地选择机制,对于推进流动人口市民化、实现“以人为本的城镇化”具有重要意义。研究基于2017年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据,运用条件logit模型,从户籍地与迁入地城市相似性的视角出发,分析户籍地与迁入地间多维邻近性对流动人口家庭迁移迁入地选择的影响。结果表明:(1)城市间工资、产业结构、信息和服务邻近降低了城市被选的概率,而地理和制度邻近则相反。以地理和制度因素为代表的环境阻力对流动人口核心家庭迁移的影响最大;此外,经济势能和社会势能高会提高迁入地被选择的概率。(2)邻近性存在调节效应,有利的制度、较低的信息搜寻成本,以及相似的平均工资、产业结构和公共服务均会抑制地理距离的负面影响。(3)不同迁入地、户籍地和家庭类型具有异质性效应,迁往东部的家庭受服务邻近影响较小,迁往中部地区的家庭受经济势能影响较大,迁往西部和东北地区则受社会势能影响较大;户籍所在区域也会先决性影响其迁入地的选择;不同人力资本水平、户口类型的家庭间迁入地选择策略也不同。It is of great significance to understand the floating population’s nuclear family migration pattern and its selection mechanism of migration destination area for promoting the citizenization of the floating population and realizing"people-centered urbanization".Based on the data of China Migrants Dynamic Survey data(CMDS)2017,this paper applies conditional logit model to analyze the influence of multidimensional proximity between the migration destination area and the original household area on the selection of floating population families’migration destination area.The results show:(1)the proximity of wage level,industrial structure,acquisition of information and services between the two areas have significantly negative effects on family migration,while the geographic and institutional proximity have significant positive effect on the migration between two areas.The environmental resistance,represented by geographic and institutional factors,has the greatest impact on the nuclear family migration.In addition,high economic and social potentials can increase the probability of the migration between the areas;(2)the effect of proximity has interactive effect,and the favorable institutions,lower information search costs,similar wages,industrial structures and public services all can dampen the negative effects of geographic distance on migration;(3)There are heterogeneous effects in the difference of migration areas,original area of hukou(household registration),and family types.The families migrate to East region are less affected by public service proximity,while those move to Central region are more affected by economic potential and those moves to West and the Northeast region are more affected by social potential.The hukou of original areas has conditional effects on the selection of migration destination,the different levels of human capital and types of hukou also influence the location choice of the floating population’s family migration.

关 键 词：多维邻近性 家庭迁移 迁入地选择 区域异质性 

分 类 号：C92-05[社会学—人口学]