“一带一路”倡议对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响研究  

The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on container shipping connectivity enjoyed by the countries along the route

作　　者：黄顺泉[1] 王冰 HUANG Shunquan;WANG Bing(School of Economics&Management,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 201306,China;School of Business,Linyi University,Linyi 276000,China)

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学经济管理学院,上海201306 [2]临沂大学商学院,山东临沂276000

出　　处：《中国航海》2024年第1期97-102,110,共7页Navigation of China

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(23BJY130)。

摘　　要：为研究“一带一路”倡议(BRI)对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响,基于2010~2020年127个国家的面板数据,运用渐进双重差分法对该影响效应进行研究。研究表明,“一带一路”倡议显著地促进了中国同沿线国家之间的集装箱海运连通性,并且这种促进作用呈逐年递增的趋势。在经过平行趋势检验和一系列的稳健性检验后该结果依然是稳健的。异质性分析结果显示,“一带一路”倡议主要促进了中国同欧洲和大洋洲国家之间的集装箱海运连通性;对发展中国家的连通性具有显著的促进作用。The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)on container shipping connectivity is studied based on 2010~2020 panel data from 127 counties along the route.The time-varying difference-in-differences model is used for the research.The findings are as follows:the BRI has significantly accelerated the development of container shipping connectivity between China and the countries along the route and the effect of acceleration went up every year;the parallel trend test and a series of robustness tests proved the robustness of the conclusion;the heterogeneity analysis shows that BRI have mainly improved sea shipping connectivity between China and European and Oceania countries;the effect is more significant for developing countries.

关 键 词：“一带一路”倡议 集装箱海运连通性 渐进双重差分 异质性分析 

分 类 号：U692[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]