世界农业科学中心的转移规律与动力机制研究  

Transfer law and formation path of the world agricultural science center

作　　者：李颖明 王子彤 汪明月 刘昌新 LI Ying-ming;WANG Zi-tong;WANG Ming-yue;LIU Chang-xin(Institutes of Science and Development,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China;School of Public Policy and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京100190 [2]中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院,北京100049

出　　处：《科学学研究》2024年第4期691-703,共13页Studies in Science of Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(72204247)。

摘　　要：加快农业强国建设需要锚定构建世界农业科学中心的目标。利用定性定量结合的方法探究世界农业科学中心的转移规律,构建“状态-压力-响应”模型识别影响世界农业科学中心形成的因素,并通过聚类分析对世界农业科学中心的发展趋势进行前瞻研判。研究结果表明:(1)世界农业科学中心的形成是以总体科技水平为基础状态,受农业的经济发展水平和生产条件等压力因素驱动,以增加农业科技投入、提高农业机械化水平为科技响应的过程;(2)世界农业科学中心存在转移现象,且可以同时有多个中心;(3)促使世界农业科学中心形成的驱动力有多种,其中农业经济压力与基础科技状态影响最为显著;(4)亚洲的世界农业科学副中心正在形成,中国的世界农业科学中心特征日渐明显。The concept of the world agricultural science center is derived from the concept of the world science center.Accelerating the construction of an agricultural power needs to anchor the goal of building a world agricultural science center.Firstly,from the three dimensions of agricultural scientific discovery,agricultural technology invention and agricultural engineering practice,the national distribution and transfer laws of the world agricultural science centers in different historical periods are identified by combining qualitative and quantitative methods.Secondly,the factors influencing the formation of the world agricultural science center are analyzed by constructing a"State-Pressure-Response"model for 11 identified countries.Finally,the cluster method is used to study the future transfer situation of the world agricultural science center.From the perspective of"status",the overall state of science and technology development of various countries is greatly related to the development status of agricultural science and technology.From the perspective of"pressure",the natural conditions and economic conditions of agricultural industry development in various countries will generally have a certain impact on agricultural science and technology,but the impact is not absolute.From the perspective of"response",the input of agricultural science and technology and the practice in production are closely related to the development of agricultural science and technology.And the problems faced by different countries in the development of agricultural science and technology are significantly different,which may determine the choice of different development methods among countries.The study draws the conclusion that:(1)The formation of the world agricultural science center is based on the overall level of science and technology,driven by pressure factors such as the economic development level and production conditions of agriculture,and the process of increasing agricultural scientific and technological input and improving t

关 键 词：世界农业科学中心 中心识别 影响因素 “状态-压力-响应”模型 

分 类 号：S-1[农业科学] G323[文化科学]