乡村振兴视角下陕西省农业经济与生态环境耦合关系研究  

Coupling relationship between agricultural economy and ecological environment in Shaanxi Province from the perspective of rural revitalization

作　　者：王长燕[1,2] 牛博 任媛媛 张启铭 邓丽华 WANG Chang-yan;NIU Bo;REN Yuan-yuan;ZHANG Qi-ming;DENG Li-hua(College of Geography and Environment,Baoji University of Arts and Sciences,Baoji 721013,Shaanxi,China;Shaanxi Province Key Laboratory of Disaster Monitoring and Mechanism Simulation,Baoji University of Arts and Sciences,Baoji 721013,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]宝鸡文理学院地理与环境学院,陕西宝鸡721013 [2]宝鸡文理学院陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟重点实验室,陕西宝鸡721013

出　　处：《宝鸡文理学院学报（自然科学版）》2024年第1期57-62,69,共7页Journal of Baoji University of Arts and Sciences(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：陕西省社会科学基金项目(2019E007,2020E007);陕西省社会科学界联合会项目(2019Z007,2020Z050);宝鸡文理学院博士科研启动费项目(ZK2017042);陕西省2019年大学生创新创业训练计划项目(S201910721033)。

摘　　要：目的研究陕西省农业经济系统与农村生态环境系统的耦合关系,对实现黄河流域的高质量发展具有重要意义。方法收集整理2012-2021年陕西省农业经济系统和农村生态环境系统的相关数据指标,运用熵值法构建其评价指标体系,计算综合发展指数,并采用耦合协调度模型和灰色预测模型来评价和预测陕西省农业经济系统与农村生态环境系统的耦合关系。结果2012-2021年,陕西省农业经济系统综合水平指数呈M型增长变化趋势,变化范围为0.294~0.710,其中,农村生活水平指数变化较小,变化范围为0.074~0.164,农业发展态势指数变化较大,变化范围为0.140~0.381;农村生态环境系统综合指数呈波动增加趋势,变化范围为0.215~0.639,人为驱动子系统和自然条件子系统指数相对比较稳定;农业经济系统与农村生态环境系统耦合协调度处于协调发展阶段,变化范围为0.501~0.804。结论2012-2021年,陕西省农业经济系统和农村生态环境系统指标呈上升趋势,两系统耦合协调程度持续提高,未来将处于良好的协调发展类型。Purposes-To study the coupling relationship between agricultural economic system and rural ecological environment system in Shaanxi Province for the relationship is of great significance for achieving high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin.Methods-Relevant data indicators of the agricultural economic system and rural ecological environment system in Shaanxi Province from 2012 to 2021 were collected and organized,the entropy method was used to construct an evaluation index system,and the comprehensive development index was calculated.Finally,the coupling coordination model and gray prediction model were used to evaluate and predict the coupling relationship between agricultural economic system and rural ecological environment system in Shaanxi Province.Results-During the period from 2012 to 2021,the comprehensive level index of agricultural economic system in Shaanxi Province shows an M-shaped growth trend,with a change range of 0.294~0.710,among which,the change of farmers'living standard index is relatively small,with a change range of 0.074~0.164,and the change of agricultural development situation index is large,with a change range of 0.140~0.381;the comprehensive index of rural ecological environment system is fluctuating and increasing,with a range of 0.215~0.639,and the indices of human-driven subsystem and natural condition subsystem are relatively stable;the coupling and coordination degree of agro-economic system and rural ecological and environmental system is in a coordinated development stage,with a range of 0.501~0.804.Conclusions-During the period from 2012 to 2021,the indicators of agricultural economic system and rural ecological environment system in Shaanxi Province show an upward trend,and the coupling and coordination degree of the two systems continue to improve,and they will be in a good coordinated development type in the future.

关 键 词：农业经济 农村生态环境 耦合协调度 灰色预测模型 

分 类 号：K901[历史地理—人文地理学]