双循环格局下中国航空货运枢纽物流供需非均衡研究  

Research on the Disequilibrium of Logistics Supply and Demand of China’s Air Cargo Hubs under the Dual-Circulation Pattern

作　　者：梁红艳 茹启琼 LIANG Hongyan;RU Qiqiong(School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou,Fujian 350108)

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州350108

出　　处：《管理现代化》2024年第2期80-90,共11页Modernization of Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“‘双循环’新格局下国家物流枢纽承载城市能级测度及其经济效应研究”(21BJY162)。

摘　　要：作为畅通经济双循环的关键节点,航空货运枢纽物流供需均衡发展是构建双循环新发展格局的前提和基础。基于网络节点连通性水平识别航空货运枢纽,并借助非均衡理论构建航空物流供需非均衡模型,研究2010-2019年中国国内与国际航空货运枢纽物流供需非均衡性。结果显示:国内航空货运枢纽包括北京首都、上海浦东、广州白云、深圳宝安、郑州新郑、西安咸阳等38个机场,其中北京首都、广州白云、上海浦东、深圳宝安同时也是国际航空货运枢纽。观测期内,每年约一半的国内航空货运枢纽表现为物流供给不足,少部分枢纽趋于相对均衡状态,其他则表现为供给过剩。上海浦东、石家庄正定、烟台蓬莱、昆明长水、天津滨海、福州长乐、西安咸阳等枢纽的供给不足现象较严重;深圳宝安、贵阳龙洞堡、银川河东、呼和浩特白塔等枢纽的供给过剩现象较严重。相较而言,中国国际航空物流供给不足现象更严重,尽管近年来有轻微缓解趋势,但并未实现根本逆转。最后,提出了中国航空货运枢纽实现物流供需均衡发展的分类对策建议。As the key node of unimpeded economic dual-circulation,the balanced development between logistics supply and demand of air cargo hub is the premise and foundation of constructing the new development pattern of dual-circulation.Air cargo hubs were identified based on the connectivity level of network nodes,and the disequilibrium model of air logistics supply and demand was constructed by means of disequilibrium theory to study the disequilibrium of logistics supply and demand of domestic and international air cargo hubs in China during 2010-2019.The results show that there were 38 domestic air cargo hubs,including Beijing Capital,Shanghai Pudong,Guangzhou Baiyun,Shenzhen Bao'an,Zhengzhou Xinzheng,Xi'an Xianyang and so on,among which Beijing Capital,Shanghai Pudong,Guangzhou Baiyun and Shenzhen Bao'an were also international air cargo hubs of China.During the sample period,about half of the domestic air cargo hubs showed insufficient logistics supply each year,a small number of air cargo hubs tended to be in a relatively balanced state,and the rest showed oversupply.The logistics supply shortage is serious in Shanghai Pudong,Shijiazhuang Zhengding,Yantai Penglai,Kunming Changshui,Tianjin Binhai,Fuzhou Changle,Xi'an Xianyang and other hubs;and the oversupply is serious in Shenzhen Bao'an,Guiyang Longdongbao,Yinchuan Hedong,Hohhot White Tower and other hubs.Comparatively speaking,the shortage of supply of international air logistics was more serious.In recent years,there has been a slight easing trend,but not a fundamental reversal.Finally,the study puts forward several suggestions for the balanced development of logistics supply and demand of air cargo hubs in China.

关 键 词：双循环格局 连通性水平 国内航空货运枢纽 国际航空货运枢纽 供需非均衡 

分 类 号：F56[经济管理—产业经济] U115[交通运输工程]