长城沿线县域TES系统耦合协调性时空格局与空间效应  

Spatial-Temporal Pattern and Spatial Effect of TES System Coupling Coordination in Counties along the Great Wall

作　　者：白翠玲 雷欣 杨丽花 董志良 BAI Cuiling;LEI Xin;YANG Lihua;DONG Zhiliang(School of Land Science and Spatial Planning,Hebei GEO University,Shijiazhuang Hebei 050031,China;Geo-Tourism and Rural Revitalization Research Base of Hebei Provincial Association for Science and Technology Think Tanks,Shijiazhuang Hebei 050031,China;School of Management,Hebei GEO University,Shijiazhuang Hebei 050031,China;Office of Science and Technology,Hebei GEO University,Shijiazhuang Hebei 050031,China)

机构地区：[1]河北地质大学土地科学与空间规划学院,河北石家庄050031 [2]河北省科协智库地学旅游与乡村振兴研究基地,河北石家庄050031 [3]河北地质大学管理学院,河北石家庄050031 [4]河北地质大学科技处,河北石家庄050031

出　　处：《生态经济》2024年第5期146-153,共8页Ecological Economy

基　　金：2021年度河北省社会科学发展研究课题“长城国家文化公园(河北段)展示体系及效果研究”(20210101040)。

摘　　要：基于2015—2019年河北省长城沿线59个县域的面板数据,采用综合评价指标、耦合协调度模型和空间面板模型等方法,探索河北省长城沿线县域旅游产业、生态环境与社会效益三大子系统(TES)耦合协调性时空发展格局与空间效应。研究发现:(1)河北省长城沿线县域TES系统综合发展水平呈现波动上升态势,其中社会效益子系统和旅游产业子系统发展水平总体上呈现缓慢上升趋势,生态环境子系统的增长趋势不显著,且社会效益子系统>旅游产业子系统>生态环境子系统。(2)TES系统呈现高耦合低协调的特征,耦合协调水平整体上呈现良好的增长趋势,且地域分布格局呈现东北部>南部>中部>西北部的态势。(3)人口密度、经济发展水平、对外开放程度、技术创新和产业结构是影响TES系统耦合协调水平的重要因素,人口密度和产业结构会对邻近县域的TES系统耦合协调水平产生影响。基于以上结果提出相应的建议,为促进长城沿线县域TES系统协调发展提供科学依据。Based on the panel data of 59 counties along the Great Wall of Heibei from 2015 to 2019,this paper used comprehensive evaluation index,coupled coordination degree model,and spatial panel model to explore the spatial-temporal development pattern and spatial effect of the coupled coordination of tourism industry,ecological environment and social benefit subsystems(TES system).The results are presented as follows:(1)The comprehensive development level of TES system in counties along the great wall of Hebei Province is fluctuating and rising.Among them,the development level of the social benefit subsystem and the tourism industry subsystem showed a slow rising trend.The growth trend of ecological environment subsystem is not obvious.It shows the characteristics of social benefit subsystem>tourism industry subsystem>ecological environment subsystem.(2)TES system is characterized by high coupling and low coordination.On the whole,the coupling coordination level shows a good increasing trend.The regional distribution pattern showed a trend of northeast>south>central>northwest.(3)Population density,economic development level,degree of openness,technical innovation and industrial structure are significant factors affecting the coupling coordination level of TES system.Population density and industrial structure will have an impact on the coupling coordination level of TES system in neighboring counties.Based on the above results,corresponding suggestions are put forward.This paper provides a scientific basis for promoting the coordinated development of county-level TES system along the Great Wall.

关 键 词：TES系统 耦合协调模型 空间效应 长城沿线县域 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学] F592.3