城镇开发边界划定智慧技术集成研究——基于人居环境科学视角  

INTEGRATION OF INTELLIGENCE TECHNOLOGIES FOR DELIMITATING URBAN DEVELOPMENT BOUNDARIES:FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF THE SCIENCES OF HUMAN SETTLEMENTS

作　　者：杨钦宇 余婷 郑筱津 汪淳 田莉 YANG Qinyu;YU Ting;ZHENG Xiaojin;WANG Chun;TIAN Li

机构地区：[1]北京清华同衡规划设计研究院有限公司总体研究中心智慧规划室 [2]自然资源部智慧人居环境与空间规划治理技术创新中心 [3]北京清华同衡规划设计研究院有限公司 [4]北京清华同衡规划设计研究院有限公司总体研究中心 [5]自然资源部智慧人居环境与空间规划治理技术创新中心运营委员会 [6]清华大学建筑学院城市规划系 [7]中国城市规划学会规划实施分会

出　　处：《城市规划》2024年第4期13-24,33,共13页City Planning Review

基　　金：国家十四五重点研发计划课题(2022YFC3802804);国家重点研发计划政府间国际科技创新合作重点专项(2019YFE0126600);北京卓越青年科学家计划(JJWZYJH01201910003010)。

摘　　要：城镇开发边界是空间增长底线的管控工具,与人类活动和人居环境建设密切相关。科学划定城镇开发边界需要人居环境科学和智慧技术有机结合。现有对城镇开发边界划定技术背后的理论支撑研究不足,对人居环境全系统尤其是人的因素关注不够,同时各类技术探索相对碎片化,缺乏对边界划定全流程技术的整合与集成应用。本文以人居环境科学为理论内核,从人的需求、人居环境的系统性和复杂性出发,提出系统耦合“双评价”、系统动力学模型、城镇开发潜力评价模型及多情景地理模拟等关键技术的城镇开发边界划定的智慧技术集成框架,科学支撑城镇发展需求预测、国土空间格局研判和城镇用地布局调控,为城镇开发边界划定和国土空间格局优化提供有益借鉴。The urban development boundary is a control tool for the bottom line of spatial growth,which is closely related to human activities and the construction of human settlements.The scientific delimitation of urban development boundaries requires the organic combination of the sciences of human settlements and intelligence technologies.At present,the academic circles do not have enough research on the theoretical basis behind the delimitation methods of urban development boundaries,and do not pay enough attention to the whole system of human settlements,especially the human factor.At the same time,various types of technology exploration are relatively fragmented,and there is a lack of full-process technology integration for boundary delimitation.Based on the sciences of human settlements,this paper proposes intelligence technology integration framework for the delimitation of urban development boundaries from the perspective of people’s needs as well as systematicness and complexity of human settlements,including key technologies coupling“dual evaluation”,system dynamics model,urban development potential pattern evaluation,and multi-scenario geographic simulation.In this way,it supports the prediction of demand for urban development,the research of territorial pattern and the planning of urban land layout,and provides a useful reference for the delimitation of urban development boundaries and the optimization of territorial pattern.

关 键 词：城镇开发边界 智慧技术集成 人居环境科学 双评价 系统动力学模型 元胞自动机 

分 类 号：TU981[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]