经济L型转段下的城市发展模式与规划供给——多种资本—成本关系视角的演绎  

URBAN DEVELOPMENT MODEL AND PLANNING SUPPLY UNDER THE L-SHAPED ECONOMIC TRANSITION:A DEDUCTION FROM THE PERSPECTIVES OF THE MULTIPLE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN CAPITAL AND ITS COST

作　　者：郭磊贤 GUO Leixian

机构地区：[1]深圳市城市规划设计研究院股份有限公司区域与城市发展研究中心

出　　处：《城市规划》2024年第4期43-50,共8页City Planning Review

摘　　要：中国经济已经进入L型转段后的波浪式、曲折式发展阶段,随着城镇人口比重超过65%,城市已成为高质量发展的核心场域。但一方面,现有的中国规划体系已经相对脱离经济语境;另一方面,现当代西方城市规划理论中两种用于扭转经济下行态势的城市发展建设经典方式未能解决地方政府债务、外部性规制及社会资本损失等问题。本文结合宏观经济发展态势,推导了新阶段下能够走出危机、促进复苏、推动发展并且符合经济资本、经济资本成本及社会资本等多种资本—成本关系优化方向的项目型城市发展建设模式,梳理了符合该模式需求的规划供给内容,提出了城市规划转型与变革的可能场景。在此基础上,本文对发展引导型城市规划的长期生命力给出了基本的论证。The Chinese economy has entered a fluctuating and tortuous development stage after an L-shaped transition.With the proportion of urban population exceeding 65%,cities have become the central focus of high-quality development.On the one hand,the existing Chinese planning system has become relatively detached from the context of economic development.On the other hand,urban development and construction,as the two classic methods used to reverse the economic downturn in contemporary urban planning theory,have failed to address issues such as local government debt,externality regulations,and the loss of social capital.Combining the macroeconomic development trend of China,this article derives a project-based urban development and construction model that can overcome crises and promote recovery and development in the new stage,which is also in line with various optimization directions of the relationships between the capital and its cost,including economic capital,cost of economic capital,and social capital.It further sorts out the planning supply model that meets the demands above and proposes possible scenarios for urban planning transformation.On this basis,this article provides a basic argument on the long-term vitality of development-oriented urban planning paradigm.

关 键 词：城市规划 城市发展方式 经济下行 城市财政 规划变革 

分 类 号：TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]